MORE - SUSA Polls - These are new :)

[Sam Spade]

A shade too Democrat, by about 5% according to registration.  Dem GOTV operations in Iowa are notoriously good.  If the Reps can hold onto the base this time (they lost 30% of Rs) they can win, but it will be squeaker.

Iowa has moved slightly to Kerry over the past couple of weeks, whereas Pennsylvania and Michigan have moved the other way.

I can't figure out Minnesota and Wisconsin remains a total tossup in my mind.

I'm much more confident about Ohio than I was 3 days ago.  Gut feeling.

[Sam Spade]

Bush has gained some serious momentum in PA in the last week, even Larry Sabato admits it.  And I think we would all agree something is going on in MI.

I actually think that in the last few days, Bush has the momentum in OH, whereas Kerry might have gained slightly in FL (but I am not sure of this).

On the other hand, it appears like Kerry has momentum in IA and WI.  Minnesota I don't know period, though I would guess it sort of follows IA and WI.