Ontario 2014 (June 12th) (user search)
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Author Topic: Ontario 2014 (June 12th)  (Read 70402 times)
Njall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,021
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -5.91
« on: May 07, 2014, 06:33:02 PM »
NDP: 72
OLP: 70
Grn: 69
PC: 47
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Njall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,021
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -5.91
« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2014, 11:45:54 AM »
I'm predicting 50 OLP / 36 PC / 21 NDP
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Njall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,021
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -5.91
« Reply #2 on: June 12, 2014, 10:57:31 PM »
Quote from: Hatman on June 12, 2014, 10:43:35 PM
Liberals back ahead in Beaches Sad , but it looks like Parkdale-High Park should at least go NDP.

Come on Michael Prue, you can do it!

Down by 70 votes with 14 polls remaining.  It's certainly possible; I hope he manages to pull it off as well.
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Njall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,021
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -5.91
« Reply #3 on: June 12, 2014, 11:01:10 PM »
12 polls remaining now, still a 70 vote margin.
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Njall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,021
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -5.91
« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2014, 11:04:33 PM »
179/189 polls in Beaches--East York, margin is now 74 votes
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Njall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,021
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -5.91
« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2014, 11:09:15 PM »
182/189 polls, 62 vote margin
Logged
Njall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,021
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -5.91
« Reply #6 on: June 12, 2014, 11:44:49 PM »
Vote dump; Potts is up by 340.  It's over.
Logged
Njall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,021
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -5.91
« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2014, 12:26:54 PM »
Quote from: Hatman on June 14, 2014, 12:00:40 PM
Quote from: Citizen Hats on June 14, 2014, 11:36:41 AM
Interestingly enough, all three leaders lost votes in their own seats. Wynne was down 1.31 pp.  Hudak was down 8.97 pp, and Horwath was down 9.28 pp.

Is there some sort of reverse leader effect in Ontario?

Weird. Perhaps Hamilton Centre isn't as populist as one would think, it probably has a lot of progressive elites much like downtown Toronto or Downtown Ottawa.

The results from Vote Compass, flawed as they may or may not be, would seem to support this hypothesis.
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