2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 640429 times)
Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #25 on: November 04, 2020, 01:40:06 AM »

NBC moves Wisconsin from Too Early to Call to Too Close to Call.

Oh boy.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #26 on: November 04, 2020, 01:41:05 AM »

Biden win looking likelier by the minute in GA.

Needle just ticked up to 64%
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #27 on: November 04, 2020, 02:15:40 AM »

Well, I guess I am going to try to call it a night. We'll see how long I can actually stay away.

While I get the theory of Milwaukee eliminating trump's lead in Wisconsin, it really looks like it Biden might fall just short. Really nervous there, and I don't feel great putting my faith in Georgia. MI and PA are total unknowns at this point.

This is going to end up being a really disappointing night, with sure things of a smaller House majority and Republican Senate. But if Biden can pull this off in the end, even if its close, getting trump out of the White House is a significant victory. I guess we can deal with the tough road ahead after we feel good about that.

I'm leaving things in your hands! Bring this home!
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #28 on: November 04, 2020, 10:01:30 AM »


Yeah, that can definitely be called for Biden now.

Who is reporting this vote dump?
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #29 on: November 04, 2020, 11:03:41 AM »

Concerned about AZ at 86% of vote and only 93000 vote lead for Biden.  Same day vote--and where is the remaining vote coming from?

Remaining vote is late-arriving absentee.

That's a bit of a relief.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #30 on: November 04, 2020, 01:22:56 PM »

Is anyone else taking about AZ other than Data Orbital? We can't afford to lose there.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #31 on: November 04, 2020, 01:25:53 PM »

Did Illinois shift right or is there just a lot of VBM out?

I don't know for sure, but there appear to be a bunch of outstanding votes that would appear to lean left.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #32 on: November 04, 2020, 04:03:42 PM »

Why don't they call Michigan already? it's over

If Fox calls Michigan than Biden is at 270. They might be waiting for the 9pm Arizona update to be safe.

Yeah but they haven’t called Nevada yet have they?
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #33 on: November 04, 2020, 04:13:32 PM »

To those saying Biden will be a lame duck - this election is about getting rid of Trump, who is a threat to American democracy. I can live with Biden and a GOP Senate.

It’s not the ideal scenario, but it’s a lot better than what we’ve had the past four years.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #34 on: November 04, 2020, 05:17:43 PM »

Let's say that Biden ends up winning 2016 + MI/WI/PA + AZ + GA, would this still be considered an underwhelming victory?

If that is what Biden ends up with, I would categorize that as a "solid" Electoral College victory. Now, based upon losing the Senate and having a smaller majority in the House, I think that makes this an underwhelming victory as a whole. But I would be very very happy with the EC outcome above.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #35 on: November 04, 2020, 07:03:23 PM »



I just saw that, but I wasn't sure what was going on. I was half paying attention so I didn't realize a campaign spokesman was saying that. We were very confused why it abruptly went to commercial.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #36 on: November 04, 2020, 09:13:43 PM »

I can't believe after all that time, they only reported that many votes.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #37 on: November 04, 2020, 09:17:03 PM »

60-40 split of 400k votes gives 240-160k, which is 80k, which is not enough to surpass a 93k margin.

SHEESH that would end up close though.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #38 on: November 04, 2020, 10:31:57 PM »

What do the AZ protesters want? If they stop counting how can Trump pull ahead?

They duuuuuuuuuuuuuumb.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #39 on: November 04, 2020, 10:54:48 PM »


He'd need to win 80+% of these votes to win. Seems like too much to do.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #40 on: November 04, 2020, 11:44:00 PM »

Georgia Georgia Georgia Georgia!!!
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #41 on: November 05, 2020, 12:04:58 AM »

Anyone have a read on when the next significant batch of votes comes in?

Next AZ batch might be here in 30 min.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #42 on: November 05, 2020, 12:40:45 AM »

CNN just announced that the Georgia SOS said there is 90k ballots left to count!

wait, so does this mean Biden only needs to win 33% of remaining ballots since his margin is -29k?

29,000/90,000 = .32222222

That's the amount he needs to lead trump to win. So do .32323232+((1-.323233)/2)
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #43 on: November 05, 2020, 12:44:45 AM »

Not sure I can last much longer tonight. This week has taken its toll. My body is failing me. I think I will probably be waking up to big news in AZ and GA. Hoping for the best.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #44 on: November 05, 2020, 09:46:35 AM »



They put the whole campaign bankroll on red?
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #45 on: November 05, 2020, 10:05:20 AM »



I know I shouldn’t necessarily panic, but this makes me nervous.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #46 on: November 05, 2020, 10:14:17 AM »



Ok LOL so they are celebrating because the Court said all votes that came in after Election Day will not count. But that doesn't mean votes that were counted after Election Day won't count. Lol dummies.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #47 on: November 05, 2020, 10:24:21 AM »

Genuinely concerned this election could be stolen.

Any rational personal would feel the same


Nope.  The rational people think we’re overreacting.
Dems are actively trying to steal it from Trump right now in Detroit and Philadelphia. This is 1960 all over again except Trump will fight.

Hey dawg. The votes counted in Detroit and Michigan show that Biden won. Someone else is trying to take that victory away from him using a bunch of lawsuits.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #48 on: November 05, 2020, 10:35:09 AM »



LOL LMFAO. Enjoy!!!!!!!
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,967
Vatican City State



« Reply #49 on: November 05, 2020, 11:21:04 AM »



NUT

But these will probably be the subject of the biggest lawsuit that could decide the election.
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