Latino Decisions @LatinoDecisions 14m14 minutes ago
If you need a really good laugh in these final days - the infamous USC/LAT tracking poll has Latino vote at +3 Clinton. Final LD has it +63
Wowza... would this alone be enough to account for basically the entire discrepancy between this tracker and the major polls showing a 2-4 point Clinton lead right now?
Bump. Does anyone know?
Doing the math it would seem to be. If Latino is 12% of the electorate and we add a 30% swing for Latinos would lead us to go from Trump 48 Clinton 43.2 to Clinton 46.8 Trump 44.4 which seems to be in line with other polls. Of course other polls seems to indicate that Trump is not THAT far behind in the Latino vote. So if we go for a 25% swing instead it is Clinton 46.2 Trump 45.