I think it's rather clear looking at it from an outsider's perspective that Netanyahu will have the seats to become Prime Minister if he doesn't do anything stupid between now and November.
That is my very outsider amateurish view as well. The old opposition narrative was "Netanyahu is the source of instability and if Netanyahu is out of power then Israel politics and stabilize". Well, an anti-Netanyahu was installed and there was no stability. The only way to a stable government now is to vote Likud.
How is a massive constitutional crisis and a direct confrontation with the judiciary a "stable government"? A Likud government is dead set on causing massive mayhem, if it weren't so he'd be surging in the polls instead of hitting the ceiling of 35 constantly.
Yeah, but that should get Likud enough seats to form a government with one or two coalition partners, and they could improve on that if they ditch Netanyahu for someone else.