2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[coloradocowboi]

Initial target list for Dems:
https://www.axios.com/2022/11/23/house-democrats-2024-districts-biden-republicans

AZ-01 (Schweikert)
AZ-06 (Ciscomani)
CA-27 (Garcia
CA-40 (Kim)
CA-41 (Calvert)
CA-45 (Steel)
IA-03 (Nunn)
MI-10 (James)
NE-02 (Bacon)
NJ-07 (Kean)
NY-01 (LaLota)
NY-03 (Santos)
NY-04 (D'Esposito)
NY-17 (Lawler)
NY-19 (Molinaro)
NY-22 (Williams)
OR-05 (Chavez-DeRemer)
PA-01 (Fitzpatrick). I needed a laugh
VA-02 (Kiggans)

I imagine the list will expand. Valadao and Duarte probably weren’t called when the list was made but I think they get onto the list when they are. Boebert may also be on this given how close her race was.

A lot of the narrow Trump seat Republicans (i.e. Garbarino, Perry, Huizenga, Steil, Van Orden, Lee, Hinson, Miller-Meeks, De La Cruz, Kiley) will be added shortly. And Zinke too given his underperformance.

Those in mid to upper single digits (Malliotakis, Wittman, Good, Mace, Bean, Mills, Luna, Gonzales, Wagner, Finstad, Crane, Obernolte) seem like potential sleepers. So might some double digit Trump seats with bad trends for the GOP (Harris, McCormick, Ogles, Van Duyne, Self, Flood, Lamborn)

I think the TX gerrymander should hold a while yet, but Self might be worth looking into because it seems like the evangelicals are the most toxic part of the GOP coalition in the suburbs