NC-SEN, 2022: The Beasley Resurrection?

[coloradocowboi]

Any word on whether or not Jeff Jackson is running?

I assume he is, but haven't seen anything definitively saying he's jumping in.  If he does run, he is opposite from Cunningham regarding candidate quality (Cunningham always underperforms). 

It's really crazy how some people have a short memory, for the past twelve months many posters on this forum explained that Cunningham was not only going to win by a healthy margin (even after the minor scandal broke out), but also that he was going to overperform Biden significantly, and now many of these same posters are trashing him

Neolibs gonna neolib. But from what I saw, leftists in the forum warned that Cunningham was self-centered and morally bankrupt from the beginning, and including through the times he was riding high in the polls.

Now, I think they are and were wrong about Erica Smith. She played a progressive well on TV, but all the while was paling around with GOP members of the state leg and corporate lobbyists. Correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't she also endorse a GOP candidate for something against a Dem? I'm not one of those "team player" ppl, but there is almost no excuse I can think of for supporting a Republican ever, under any circumstances, especially when you declare yourself a progressive. I get Tulsi vibes from her, and think she would be about as offputting to voters. I'm team Jackson on this one. Not even sure he can win this one though anyway

[coloradocowboi]

Jeff Jackson is in. https://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/politics-government/article248608500.html

He couldn’t have done this a year ago? Ugh

There was speculation here (and journalistic rumours elsewhere) that Schumer did not 'okay' his candidacy because of skeletons in the closet. Him choosing to run now probably debunks that and makes the recruitment of Cunningham look like an even more bizarre decision.

Apparently it was because they disagreed about campaign strategy. Jackson wanted to run a grassroots campaign and hold town halls all over the state, but Schumer wanted the candidate to be locked in a windowless basement and make fundraising calls all day.

No, Jackson wanted to do only minimal fundraising and almost completely cede the airwaves to Tillis.  Schumer rightly decided that it would be a bad idea to nominate a candidate who planned to 1) do as little fundraising as possible and 2) not to bother running attack ads against Tillis.  Schumer initially tried to recruit a bunch of other candidates like Anthony Foxx, Roy Cooper, Josh Stein, Janet Cowell, etc, etc but none of them were interested for a variety of reasons.  

Eventually, Schumer went with Cunningham (who was basically the only viable non-Jackson candidate left since unelectable DINO Erica Smith was obviously a non-starter) and Cunningham was well on his way to winning before getting torpedoed by an unforeseeable scandal.  And even then, Cunningham only lost by the skin of his teeth which suggests that - ironically enough - Schumer actually did have the right idea about this race re: strategy and that Cunningham probably would've won but for the late-breaking scandal (which he handled horribly btw).  

Uhhh are you simping for Chuck Schumer and the DSCC right now? This reads like a parody. Cunningham was a standard polling error away from disaster either way, had absolutely no personality to speak of, no experience, almost no position on any issue, and was objectively a terrible pick and that's without the scandal that was obviously not unforeseeable because his own penile decisions yielded it lol!

The only thing I'm confident saying is that assuming Reverend Barber = Reverend Warnock and Jeff Jackson = Cal Cunningham is lazy analysis. Different people in different states in different national environments against different candidates.

I'm a huge Barber fan, and he would actually make a better Senator than Warnock. But yeah... North Carolina is a lot more white (read: racist) and Barber is a lot more leftist than Warnock. I think he would probably lose.

[coloradocowboi]

This election is safe r right?

In the sense that the statistical likelihood Democrats win here is very low, yes. But a multitude of factors could put the seat in play and the GOP would be unwise to not contest this race vigorously.