2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2

[DINGO Joe]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1320410525507985408?s=21

So Dems are going to get a 600k mail in ballot lead after all, lol

Was the talking point that Dems needed a 600k lead in mail in ballots or a 600k lead in all of early voting, in-person and mail combined?

Yes, the talking point moved so many times who knows what it was originally.  Please move to the Flabuckeye model for anything useful.

[DINGO Joe]

The news about Hurricane Zeta hitting the Florida panhandle sounds bad for the GOP and it just shows why trump being so against voting by mail was such a awful idea in the first place  

He is betting everything on all his voters all being able to come out on election day and now this Hurricane could effect that. even if a few of his voters decide to not show up because of this it could be the end for him

on a side note I hope the people who are effected by Hurricane Zeta stay safe

Well, at this point, it's actually forecast for Southeast Louisiana though we've been in the cone 7 times now and are 0-7, so maybe it will go to Florida.  It's not going to be  a strong storm and it'll be fast moving so it'll be a nuisance but little worse than that.  

[DINGO Joe]

It's amazing how Alabama and Mississippi manages to be in the bottom of almost every chart.

This can be explained by the big racial divide within the DEM Party in AL/MS and the more hipster Western/NE states.

In AL/MS, almost all Democrats are Black. They don't vote by post, fearing for their votes.

In CO, OR or elsewhere almost all White Democrats vote by mail this year.

It can be explained by those states making early voting harder than in other states

[DINGO Joe]

Even though I think Biden will ultimately win FL based on Indys, it would also be cool if he loses the state.

Why ?

Because I banked 50€ on a high-risk bet that Biden would become President by losing OH and FL.

And I have several other bets running ...

50 cents doesn't seem like a very big bet