Prediction: MS Gov. Primary Tues.

[DINGO Joe]

I voted this morning.

I think Reeves will avoid a runoff but it’ll be close.  Something like 53-38-9.  Reeves will run strong in South MS, Rankin Co and Tupelo/NE.  Waller will do better in Hinds/Madison, the Delta and College Counties.  AG primary seems very unpredictable too.  I’ll predict wins for McRae, Watson as well (sadly). 

Hood could fall into a runoff but his name recognition + high Democratic balloting by North MS whites should get him >55%.

Why did you expect Waller to do well in Hinds/Madison but not Rankin?

[DINGO Joe]

Runoff predictions (for now):

Reeves:  57%
Waller:  43%

A very underwhelming performance for Reeves, Waller will win more counties in the runoff than he did in the first round.

Fitch: 65%
Taggart:  35%

Fitch is going to bloody Andy in the AG runoff because she can attack him on his lukewarmness toward Trump. 

Sincerely - can't explain logically how such disgusting person as Trump became an idol (no less) of Republican party...[/offtopic]

Well, Mississippi is really really racist.

[DINGO Joe]

Just to review, Waller is the guy who is liked by moderate suburban college repubs right?

Yes, therefore 70-30 Reeves!

[DINGO Joe]

Supposedly super low turnout in the Memphis and Jackson areas.

[DINGO Joe]

Really kind of dull.  Waller got a little traction in the NE, but he got totally crushed on the Gulf Coast.  By and large though very little different from the first round.

[DINGO Joe]

Waller did win all the "educated" county in the State, it's just that they don't have that many votes.

[DINGO Joe]

Waller did win all the "educated" county in the State, it's just that they don't have that many votes.

The MS Gulf Coast is relatively educated and it delivered

I thought the Gulf Coast would be educated too, but it really isn't, at least according to the Census

Top counties with Bachelor Degree or higher

Madison 46.5
Oktibbeha 42.6
Lafayette 41.9
Lamar 35.9
Rankin 29.2
Hinds 28.6
Forrest 26.7

The GC ranged from 20.7 to 22.2

Why did Reeves do so well on the Coast?  Was he in tight with the Casinos?
 

[DINGO Joe]

Waller did win all the "educated" county in the State, it's just that they don't have that many votes.

The MS Gulf Coast is relatively educated and it delivered

I thought the Gulf Coast would be educated too, but it really isn't, at least according to the Census

Top counties with Bachelor Degree or higher

Madison 46.5
Oktibbeha 42.6
Lafayette 41.9
Lamar 35.9
Rankin 29.2
Hinds 28.6
Forrest 26.7

The GC ranged from 20.7 to 22.2

Why did Reeves do so well on the Coast?  Was he in tight with the Casinos?
 

Retirees and the AA pockets depress the gulf coast counties a significant amount.

Maybe retirees but the GC is generally whiter than most of the "educated counties"