IA-Selzer: Trump +1 (user search)
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  IA-Selzer: Trump +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer: Trump +1  (Read 3594 times)
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« on: June 15, 2020, 06:16:16 PM »

Hmm what is causing Ernst to do noticeably worse than Trump in recent polls?
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2020, 06:19:31 PM »

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

I won’t complain, I’d happily take a six year Senate rental than a worthless 6 electoral votes that will be non-determinative in every realistic electoral college scenario
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« Reply #2 on: June 15, 2020, 06:29:59 PM »

If Biden wins three congressional districts then he probably will win the state.

IA-04 is like Trumplingrad. Fred Hubble won 3/4 districts narrowly but lost because he got killed in the 4th. This seems to be where Iowa is at now in the Presidential polling.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« Reply #3 on: June 15, 2020, 06:40:02 PM »

If Biden were looking for a place to spend money, I don't think Iowa would be a terrible option.

The only reason to spend money here is to keep the margin close to help Greenfield, Axne, Hart and Finkenauer. Iowa’s 6 electoral votes pale in comparison to Texas and Georgia
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