CA: Hillary leads by 6% only (user search)
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  CA: Hillary leads by 6% only (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA: Hillary leads by 6% only  (Read 3807 times)
Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 31,732
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« on: April 14, 2015, 12:00:27 PM »

Emerson college is a joke. Last year, their final poll showed Tisei leading by 3 in MA-06, he lost by 14. And the 0% undecided in this poll is so obviously false at this point in the cycle.
 
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Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,732
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: April 14, 2015, 12:56:24 PM »


The margin of error means that each candidate's number, not the margin, may be off by, in this poll, up to 3.2%. So, under the best possible scenario for republicans, the margin of error would mean that Hillary is trailing 49.8-50.2 in CA. So, it's actually just barely within the margin of error under the minimal chance that this poll is actually credible.
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Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,732
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #2 on: April 14, 2015, 03:15:35 PM »

Emerson needs to fail their statistics majors.



I doubt it's statistics students who do their polls. Their errors are always in a too-republican direction, so they probably just hire some low-key republican party operatives to produce their junk.
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