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October 29, 2020, 02:38:52 AM

  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  CA: Hillary leads by 6% only
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Author Topic: CA: Hillary leads by 6% only  (Read 3474 times)
Former Democrat
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« on: April 14, 2015, 06:51:07 AM »

Emerson College

CA President:
Clinton (D) 53%
Bush (R) 47%

Clinton (D) 53%
Walker (R) 47%

https://strehlspresidentialelection2016.wordpress.com/
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: April 14, 2015, 06:54:12 AM »

LOL Emerson, try again.

Hillary wins by 15%+
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #2 on: April 14, 2015, 07:10:27 AM »



Keep keeping on Emerson.
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Flake
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« Reply #3 on: April 14, 2015, 07:10:44 AM »

Why are you referencing a blog instead of the actual poll page?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #4 on: April 14, 2015, 08:26:44 AM »

0% undecided. What a state.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: April 14, 2015, 08:57:22 AM »

That sounds like a "Loof-Lipra" poll. Just read it backward.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #6 on: April 14, 2015, 10:51:59 AM »

Clinton wins CA, like IL, 56-44.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
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« Reply #7 on: April 14, 2015, 10:57:48 AM »

1. General election polls, at this stage, are meaningless
2. Even though, this poll is downright retarded
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DrScholl
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« Reply #8 on: April 14, 2015, 10:58:42 AM »

Republicans will eat this up and not question it at all.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: April 14, 2015, 11:50:50 AM »

I hope Republicans spend copious amounts of money in California.
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Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: April 14, 2015, 12:00:27 PM »

Emerson college is a joke. Last year, their final poll showed Tisei leading by 3 in MA-06, he lost by 14. And the 0% undecided in this poll is so obviously false at this point in the cycle.
 
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Joshua
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« Reply #11 on: April 14, 2015, 12:17:07 PM »

JUNK POLL!
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #12 on: April 14, 2015, 12:38:58 PM »

The CBS affiliate in San Diego has repeated the poll:

http://www.cbs8.com/story/28796548/emerson-college-poll-california-may-be-in-play-for-2016-presidential-race-harris-leads-in-us-senate-race-71-support-water-use-restrictions

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Somebody does not even understand polling statistics.
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Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #13 on: April 14, 2015, 12:56:24 PM »


The margin of error means that each candidate's number, not the margin, may be off by, in this poll, up to 3.2%. So, under the best possible scenario for republicans, the margin of error would mean that Hillary is trailing 49.8-50.2 in CA. So, it's actually just barely within the margin of error under the minimal chance that this poll is actually credible.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: April 14, 2015, 02:33:32 PM »

Emerson needs to fail their statistics majors.

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Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #15 on: April 14, 2015, 03:15:35 PM »

Emerson needs to fail their statistics majors.



I doubt it's statistics students who do their polls. Their errors are always in a too-republican direction, so they probably just hire some low-key republican party operatives to produce their junk.
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Joshua
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« Reply #16 on: April 14, 2015, 04:15:19 PM »

Emerson needs to fail their statistics majors.



Wow, we make fun of muh ">Gravis" and muh "PPP approvals," but that record is nothing short of completely abysmal.
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Skye
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« Reply #17 on: April 14, 2015, 04:18:44 PM »

lol, try fooling someone else Emerson.
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
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« Reply #18 on: April 14, 2015, 05:11:45 PM »

As much as I'm not a Hillary fan, 0% undecided? Junk poll!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #19 on: April 14, 2015, 05:15:57 PM »

I hope Republicans spend copious amounts of money in California.

Yeah, go ahead Republicans! California can become Atlas blue, if only you spend 50-100 millions.
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Vega
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« Reply #20 on: April 14, 2015, 05:28:23 PM »

Why are you referencing a blog instead of the actual poll page?

He's gotta plug his blog some how. Tongue
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Holmes
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« Reply #21 on: April 14, 2015, 11:03:53 PM »

Clinton wins CA, like IL, 56-44.

More like 60 - 38.
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CountryClassSF
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« Reply #22 on: April 15, 2015, 03:06:28 AM »

Emerson College

CA President:
Clinton (D) 53%
Bush (R) 47%

Clinton (D) 53%
Walker (R) 47%

https://strehlspresidentialelection2016.wordpress.com/

I'm sorry to tell you that our state is still certifiably insane -- and this is a rotten poll.
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Kansas City Suburbanite for Orman-Clinton-Kelly For Marshall
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« Reply #23 on: April 15, 2015, 04:08:26 PM »
« Edited: April 15, 2015, 04:13:24 PM by Zyzz »

Hillary did beat Obama in the 2008 California primary, so she might not do as bad in CA as people think.
Check out the CA 2008 primary exit poll , she demolished Obama among Hispanics interestingly enough.

% of total   Clinton   Obama   Edwards
25      White men   33      60      5   
28      White women   53      40      6   
13      Latino men   62      37      1   
16      Latino women   69      30      0   
26      Today/In the last three days   47      49      4   


http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/states/CA.html
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IceSpear
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« Reply #24 on: April 15, 2015, 06:02:59 PM »

Hillary did beat Obama in the 2008 California primary, so she might not do as bad in CA as people think.
Check out the CA 2008 primary exit poll , she demolished Obama among Hispanics interestingly enough.

% of total   Clinton   Obama   Edwards
25      White men   33      60      5   
28      White women   53      40      6   
13      Latino men   62      37      1   
16      Latino women   69      30      0   
26      Today/In the last three days   47      49      4   


http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/states/CA.html

Yeah, the "Hillary can't appeal to minorities like Obama can" myth is quite adorable.
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