In which governors races will Dems perform better than 2018 (in terms of margin?)
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  In which governors races will Dems perform better than 2018 (in terms of margin?)
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Author Topic: In which governors races will Dems perform better than 2018 (in terms of margin?)  (Read 701 times)
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,670
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« Reply #25 on: April 27, 2022, 07:37:49 PM »

It's obviously FL, you guys really think DeSantis is gonna win by 12 and he won by 0.5 last time against a Socialist, Crist can certainly win


The Democrats have no feasible shot at flipping the governorship in Florida.

Ron DeSantis will win re-election by at least +6 percentage points. May be closer to—perhaps even reach—+10. This is due to both his popularity and that the midterm elections of 2022 are going to be wave in favor of his political party.

I anticipate Ohio’s Mike DeWine will get re-elected by a similar level in percentage-points margin.

You gotta be kidding me DeSantis won by 0.5 against a Socialist Afro Americans do you know the polls have been all over the place Crist plus 3 DeSantis plus 16 and DeSantis plus 11 I like how users think that just because they make a declaration the race is Over, 🚫



The 2018 Democrats won the U.S. Popular Vote for U.S. Governors by +3.07 percentage points. (Outcome: Democratic 50.37% vs. Republican 47.30%.) Ron DeSantis won a Republican hold for Governor of Florida by +0.40. So, DeSantis ran an extra +3 to +4 above the Republicans’s national performance.



That's a really terrible comparison.   Florida is also to the right of the nation as a state for one thing, also governor elections don't really have much to do with other states, especially for bigger states.

Almost every statewide election in Florida has been within a point or so in the last decade (up until 2020 at least),  Desantis was just generic R really.
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