Irish Election Results Thread

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The exit poll is: FG 36.1, LAB 20.5, FF 15.1, SF 10.1, GRN 2.7, IND/OTHER 15.5

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The exit poll is: FG 36.1, LAB 20.5, FF 15.1, SF 10.1, GRN 2.7, IND/OTHER 15.5

Oh, so no new ones have come since ?

Nothing's changed for a while now. Seems like they're all counting and we need to wait until somebody publishes final first prefs.

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Labour 1 seat in Dublin W.

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Dublin West count
Burton (Lab) 22.7% elected
Varadkar (FG) 19.7%
Higgins (SP) 19%
Lenihan (FF) 15.1%
Dennison (FG) 7.5%
Nulty (Lab) 6.3%
Donnelly (SF) 6.1%

So: LAB 29, FG 27.2, FF 16.6, SF 6.1, GRN 1.4, OTH 19. Turnout up a bunch to 82.3%. FF vote collapses 21.5%

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Dublin MW overall: FG 30.9, LAB 30.8, SF 11.8, FF 11.8, GRN 3.5, OTH 8.9.

2 Lab, 2 FG?

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2 Lab, 1 SF, 1 FG in Dublin SW?

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woo, FF down 28.5% in DSW. Could Brian Lenihan turn out to be FF's only Dublin TD?

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Does it seem that FF is getting hit hardest in the high-growth suburban communities which reelected Ahern in 02/07?

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What happens with Higgins' MEP seat?

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Pearse Doherty wins over quota on first count. Impressive win.

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A bit of a surprise - rather than widening, the Labour-Fianna Fail gap seems to be narrowing. It's 19% to 18% with only two constituencies left to go.

It would be terrible if FF got second in the vote share.

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Listening to Enda Kenny for over 5 minutes seconds:

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So, with all first counts:

FG 36.1% (+8.8%)
LAB 19.4% (+9.3%)
FF 17.4% (-24.1%)
Indies 12.6% (+6.8%)
SF 9.9% (+3%)
Greenies 1.8% (-2.8%)
Socialist 1.2% (+0.6%)
PBPA 1%

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     Heh, FF didn't win first preferences anywhere, even though SF won them in Donegal South West.

Micheal Martin won on the first count, but otherwise you're right.

He meant that FF candidates put together did not win the most first prefs anywhere.

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Some rounding.

Why is Labour traditionally strong in southern Ireland than it is in northern Ireland?

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Also, I recall reading on the Wikipedia that eastern Ireland had more large landholders and western Ireland had more smallholders. Is there any truth to this or is it yet another case of Wikipedia making stuff up?

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No, that's quite right (though I suppose you can replace small with tiny and large with normal )

Does that fact have any impact on voting patterns anymore though?

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Well done to Irish Labour!

Not sure they should be happy about possibly forming government in the long-term.

Yeah, in reality this isn't so good for them. They risk association with a government led by a stupid used car salesman which will inevitably be unpopular soon.

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Anybody care to do a map/list of the decline in FF's vote share by constituency?

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Pringle is ex-SF, so presumably left. My paper tells me Murphy is 'left' though that's based on assumptions based on Wikipedia.

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I'd be interested in this election run under FPTP, though it'd require somebody to divide the country into single-seat constituencies and try simulating results in those.