I don't want to hear anyone else saying "Clinton was up by more last time!" again

[The Mikado]

Today's date highlighted.



This year.

People keep saying "Clinton was ahead by so much more" or "You can't trust Biden's lead, don't you remember how much Clinton was up by?"

I do remember. And Biden isn't down to Trump right now like Hillary Clinton was.

[The Mikado]

Personally, I don’t want anyone getting too confident about this race until at least September/October, if at all. It’s one thing to feel good about Biden’s chances, and another entirely to assume that he’s got this in the bag.

That's not what this is. It's arguing against the idiotic knee jerk "Trump will win again no matter what" I see all the time.

Biden's in really good shape at present.

[The Mikado]

Honestly the truth is the election is a tossup, until like the last 2 weeks when the undecideds make up their minds. I expect at least 2 Summer shockers, 2 October surprises, and either Trump or Biden will give one very bad debate preformance.

1 down, 1 more summer shocker to go

It's still spring

Sure, but in Arizona spring ends in April and its already 100 degrees lol

As a Texan, I'm glad we have something we can agree on. This is definitely summer.

[The Mikado]

It's been a few weeks since I started this thread. Let's see where the charts are now:

2012:



2016:



2020:



Really says it all, doesn't it?

[The Mikado]

Been a few more weeks: Where are we now?

2012 (Almost has the 3.8 final margin down, 4 months out)



2016:



2020: