If Democrats have a covid fear mongering campaign in the next cycle in Virginia, it could transition to quite a republican state.
If they do not have a covid fear mongering campaign, I would guess they win back the House of Delegates.
If we're talking about 2023, COVID will almost surely be conclusively over by then. If a 2022 HoD election happens, that is a little iffier. With presidential midterm turnout, I doubt VA Dems could flip back the HoD in 2022 anyway. It would have to be driven by the new map, maybe with some Roe backlash thrown in.
COVID will never be “over”. At some point it will be like the flu, but it will never be gone.
Anyway, the new HOD map will probably give Dems back their Fredericksburg seat by not splitting that city anymore. They may also get another Loundon seat that is around Biden + 15. That would tie the chamber again.
COVID will likely never be eradicated, but the vast majority will be completely ignoring it in the spring, summer, and fall, and treating it like we do the flu in the winter
