I made a county map of the midwest of what I think a possible future presidential election could look like with further urban-rural division.
Midwest + Pennsylvania
Dark Red = >60% R
Red = <60% R
Blue = <60% D
Dark Blue = >60% D
Consider the average dark red and dark blue county 70-75% R or D. My formula for constructing this map was pretty much 50% 2016 trends and 50% pure rural-urban divide. In this scenario imagine Waukesha County WI barely going Republican and Hamilton Indiana barely going Democratic.
I was wondering if this type of map is realistic going forward? A map with trends more heavily weighted on how densely populated the county is and its proximity to a major metropolitan area, more than the college education aspect.
This is an alarming map, one that I hope will not come to pass. But unfortunately, I think we are headed on that trajectory. Do you think this will eventually be the map in Senatorial and gubernatorial elections as well?
