True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
Posts: 7,368
Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87
|
 |
« on: April 21, 2007, 05:24:26 PM » |
|
1972:
404-134
CA might be a stretch, but whatever.
1980 (I'm assuming no Anderson):
403-135
1984 (Carter does 3-5% better across the South, which means Reagan can't get over 60%):
421-117
With 1992, I'm really unsure. On one hand, I could see Perot getting the same amount of support in the end with Bush I winning over Dukakis by about 5%. On the other hand, I could see Perot getting over 25% and the race being a tossup.
1996 (Bush would run worse than Dole. He has nothing new to offer, and him running again would just make the Republicans look more desperate. I'm assuming Perot gets about the same amount of support):
430-108
2004 (Gore starts off about the same as Kerry, but he never recovers in the first debate like Kerry does, giving Bush a fairly sizeable victory of about 5 points of so:
345-193
|
