Arizona megathread
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #925 on: November 17, 2022, 08:50:47 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 17, 2022, 07:40:57 PM
Hoffman losing prevented this from being a Democratic sweep of the statewide offices, right?

Also the GOP has majorities of just 1 in both the state House and Senate... damn, so close to a blue wave completely overtaking the state!

As for this nonsense about Californians turning AZ blue, doesn't even make sense considering most of the Californians leaving the state actually lean right and are trying to escape liberal policies. Many retirees move to AZ too, just like Florida. No, the GOP just needs to accept that they have turned off a ton of independents and moderate Rs in the state. In part by being one of the craziest state parties and in part by tying themselves to a man who vocally hated John McCain.

It could never have been a sweep. Mine Inspector ran unopposed and Yee was called for treasurer a while ago
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #926 on: November 17, 2022, 09:16:21 PM »


At least 4,570 of Maricopa's are not going to be counted according to their own tabulation.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #927 on: November 18, 2022, 09:56:48 AM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on November 17, 2022, 09:16:21 PM


At least 4,570 of Maricopa's are not going to be counted according to their own tabulation.

And at least 1000 of the Maricopa left are the Box 3. So that will help Republicans, though 2500 left in Pima/Apache should hopefully offset it. If I had to guess, Mayes will win by just a few hundred, if that.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #928 on: November 18, 2022, 09:59:55 AM »
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #929 on: November 18, 2022, 10:49:20 AM »
Quote from: Dr Oz Hater on November 18, 2022, 09:59:55 AM


This must make Mr. Trump proud. He did the same with Neil Young's "Rockin' in the free world" during his 2015 announcement.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #930 on: November 18, 2022, 02:49:19 PM »

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #931 on: November 19, 2022, 08:47:35 PM »
AG update. Looks like Mayes is going to win.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #932 on: November 19, 2022, 10:14:09 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #933 on: November 19, 2022, 11:20:43 PM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #934 on: November 20, 2022, 05:27:24 PM »
Mayes still looks really good though. There can't be a ton out at this point, and I assume there's not all 1,200-1,300 box 3 ballots still outstanding. Though even if there was, Abe would need to win them by a large margin to overcome Mayes' 850 lead right now.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #935 on: November 21, 2022, 02:52:12 PM »

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Spectator
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« Reply #936 on: November 21, 2022, 02:53:34 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 21, 2022, 02:52:12 PM


The AZ-Sen GOP front runner in 2024 folks
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President Johnson
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« Reply #937 on: November 21, 2022, 03:03:52 PM »
Quote from: Spectator on November 21, 2022, 02:53:34 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 21, 2022, 02:52:12 PM


The AZ-Sen GOP front runner in 2024 folks

Should Democrats already send them a Thank-You-Card?
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #938 on: November 21, 2022, 03:05:30 PM »
Tough to say if Kari Lake actually thinks she's going to be able to overturn the election results or if this is a scam publicity stunt. It seems clear to me that she was hoping to be Trump's 2024 VP. Maybe she thinks she can still make that happen if she fights hard enough.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #939 on: November 21, 2022, 03:51:04 PM »
Supposedly the final result is Mayes up by a little over 500 before the recount.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #940 on: November 21, 2022, 04:04:23 PM »


It's not impossible to overturn a 500-vote deficit in a recount, but it's extremely unlikely.
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Torrain
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« Reply #941 on: November 21, 2022, 04:54:46 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 21, 2022, 04:04:23 PM
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1594794887706189852
It's not impossible to overturn a 500-vote deficit in a recount, but it's extremely unlikely.
McSally's recount in 2014 took her from a 161 to a 167 vote lead, apparently - if the AZ election system is still as accurate as it was back then, this should all be over...
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #942 on: November 21, 2022, 05:40:29 PM »
Quote from: Torrain on November 21, 2022, 04:54:46 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 21, 2022, 04:04:23 PM
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1594794887706189852
It's not impossible to overturn a 500-vote deficit in a recount, but it's extremely unlikely.
McSally's recount in 2014 took her from a 161 to a 167 vote lead, apparently - if the AZ election system is still as accurate as it was back then, this should all be over...

Wasn't that a district?
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Torrain
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« Reply #943 on: November 21, 2022, 06:03:33 PM »
Quote from: Your False god Won't Save You on November 21, 2022, 05:40:29 PM
Quote from: Torrain on November 21, 2022, 04:54:46 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 21, 2022, 04:04:23 PM
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1594794887706189852
It's not impossible to overturn a 500-vote deficit in a recount, but it's extremely unlikely.
McSally's recount in 2014 took her from a 161 to a 167 vote lead, apparently - if the AZ election system is still as accurate as it was back then, this should all be over...

Wasn't that a district?

Aye - but it’s got some relevance to statewide recounting. I’ll admit - it’s not a one-to-one comparison though.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #944 on: November 21, 2022, 06:24:57 PM »
Quote from: Torrain on November 21, 2022, 06:03:33 PM
Quote from: Your False god Won't Save You on November 21, 2022, 05:40:29 PM
Quote from: Torrain on November 21, 2022, 04:54:46 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 21, 2022, 04:04:23 PM
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1594794887706189852
It's not impossible to overturn a 500-vote deficit in a recount, but it's extremely unlikely.
McSally's recount in 2014 took her from a 161 to a 167 vote lead, apparently - if the AZ election system is still as accurate as it was back then, this should all be over...

Wasn't that a district?

Aye - but it’s got some relevance to statewide recounting. I’ll admit - it’s not a one-to-one comparison though.

The largest swing in a recount I know of was the 2008 Minnesota Senate race, which went from Coleman+215 to Franken+312, a net change of 527 votes.  But that was an extreme case.
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xavier110
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« Reply #945 on: November 21, 2022, 07:14:22 PM »
Democrats serving as Gov, SOS, and AG is just mind blowing to me, lol. Pinch me.

Kari Lake is pathetic. On the ground, the vibes to me feel much different than 2020, when the crazies heard people all over the country saying the election was fraudulent. Right now it feels much more contained to AZ, so it feels less potent.

But watch them interrupt and hijack the certification proceedings.
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Spectator
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« Reply #946 on: November 21, 2022, 07:25:39 PM »
Quote from: xavier110 on November 21, 2022, 07:14:22 PM
Democrats serving as Gov, SOS, and AG is just mind blowing to me, lol. Pinch me.

Kari Lake is pathetic. On the ground, the vibes to me feel much different than 2020, when the crazies heard people all over the country saying the election was fraudulent. Right now it feels much more contained to AZ, so it feels less potent.

But watch them interrupt and hijack the certification proceedings.

I’m shocked that Hoffman lost despite all that. Usually Dems do better in education superintendent races than other row offices.
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Atlas Force
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« Reply #947 on: November 21, 2022, 07:26:26 PM »
Is Fontes a possible future contender for Governor or Senator?
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #948 on: November 21, 2022, 07:33:34 PM »
Quote from: Atlas Force on November 21, 2022, 07:26:26 PM
Is Fontes a possible future contender for Governor or Senator?
He’s by far the most likely next democratic governor of Arizona. Of course, that’ll happen in 2031 which is almost a decade away.
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Atlas Force
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« Reply #949 on: November 21, 2022, 07:45:30 PM »
Quote from: Utah Neolib on November 21, 2022, 07:33:34 PM
Quote from: Atlas Force on November 21, 2022, 07:26:26 PM
Is Fontes a possible future contender for Governor or Senator?
He’s by far the most likely next democratic governor of Arizona. Of course, that’ll happen in 2031 which is almost a decade away.

Would be funny if between Hobbs and Fontes, two consecutive Arizona Secretaries of State became Governor.
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