Vosem
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Posts: 15,641
Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09
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« on: August 27, 2020, 09:39:55 AM » |
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If there is a Republican landslide, yes; Virginia will be drifting away from them but is by no means unwinnable.
Virginia result/US popular vote/Virginia-lean:
2000: R+9/D+0/R+9
2004: R+8/R+3/R+5
2008: D+6/D+7/R+1
2012: D+4/D+4/even
2016: D+5/D+2/D+3
The thing is that there's every indication this trend is still continuing and is still fast, and VA may soon be more Democratic than other long-shot states like CO or MN. But if there's a presidential year with an environment like the one we saw in 2010 or 2014 it seems like VA probably still flips in the 2020s.
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