AZ - NBC/Marist: Sinema +10/+11/+25 McSally +2 in Primary

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Sinema: 48%
Ward: 38%

Sinema: 49%
McSally: 38%

Sinema: 57%
Arpaio: 32%

Dems +7 in Generic Ballot in State

McSally: 30%
Ward: 28%
Arpaio: 21%

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/AZpolls/AZ180617/NBC%20News%20Marist%20Poll_Written%20Summary%20of%20Findings_AZ_June%202018.pdf

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I can't help but think the Democrats' fortunes in the state are being charged by Trump's immigration woes. The state is trending blue faster than we thought, and Trump could be to blame.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Marist released the numbers officially. They're all the same. We get cross tabs though!

Sinema wins 21% of Republicans against Arpaio

Sinema beats McSally amongst Latinos by a whopping 60-26%

Also against McSally...

Winning White college grads 56-37%

Tied with men at 43%

Winning women 54-34%

Winning whites 44-43%

Sinema winning the suburbs 54-36%

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/AZpolls/AZ180617/Toss%20Up%20Questions_NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll_Arizona%20Nature%20of%20the%20Sample%20and%20Tables_June%202018.pdf#page=1

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This deserves its own comment...

Sinema is beating McSally in Maricopa County 53-36%



Interestingly enough, the poll shows that WARD does the best amongst all three in the county, losing by only 40-50%

Arpaio, unsurprisingly, loses it 31-61%