IA-Quinnipiac: Ernst +2 (user search)
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  IA-Quinnipiac: Ernst +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Quinnipiac: Ernst +2  (Read 3983 times)
AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,422
United States


« on: October 29, 2020, 02:04:32 PM »

Can't wait for this thread to get upwards of five pages while the Greenfield +6 poll from yesterday goes ignored.
The probable reason to why less credence has been given to that +6 poll.. is because the same pollster had Greenfield up by 12 points in late September. lol.
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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,422
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 02:13:54 PM »

Just an FYI, polls underestimated Republicans in Iowa by 4 on average in 2016 and 2018.
Polls underestimated Ernst in 2014, as well..

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ia/iowa_senate_ernst_vs_braley-3990.html
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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,422
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 03:00:21 PM »


First off she was not an incumbent then and second she had varying leads across various polls not scattered ones. If anything she is in Braley's position.
That doesn't detract from the fact that republicans have been underestimated in Iowa polling for the 3 distinct election cycles..

Of course, that may change this year.
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