Poll: Are there second chances in politics? (user search)
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  Poll: Are there second chances in politics? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which rematches will turn out differently in '08 than they did in '06?
#1
CA-04: Rep. Doolittle (R) V. Brown (D)
 
#2
CA-11: Rep. Mcnerny (D) V. ex-Rep. Pombo (R)
 
#3
FL-12 "Rep." Buchanan (R) V. Jennings (D)
 
#4
FL-16 Rep. Mahoney (D) V. Negron (R)
 
#5
GA-08 Rep. Marshall (D) V. ex-Rep. Collins (R)
 
#6
ID-01: Rep. Sali (R) V. Grant (D)
 
#7
IL-10: Rep. Kirk (R) V. Seals (D)
 
#8
KS-02 Rep. Boyda (D) V. ex-Rep. Ryun
 
#9
NC-08: Rep. Hayes V. Kissell
 
#10
NH-01: Rep. Shea-Porter V. ex-Rep. Bradley
 
#11
NJ-07: Rep. Ferguson V. Stender
 
#12
NV-03: Rep. Porter V. Hafen
 
#13
PA-04: Rep. Altmire V. ex-Rep. Hart
 
#14
PA-08: Rep. Murphy V. ex-Rep. Fitzpatrick
 
#15
WY-AL: Rep. Cubin V. Trauner
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 19

Author Topic: Poll: Are there second chances in politics?  (Read 2551 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: February 04, 2007, 08:09:32 PM »

Realistically, only NJ-07, NC-08 and FL-16 have serious chances of turning out differently as rematches of the ones mentioned.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2007, 09:18:19 PM »

Bradley, Kissell, Grant and Ryun (and maybe Trauner, I seem to remember something along those lines) have announced that they plan to run in 2008. Some, like Negron, have explicitly said that they will not run in 2008.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2007, 11:49:09 PM »
« Edited: February 04, 2007, 11:51:40 PM by Verily »

Bradley, Kissell, Grant and Ryun (and maybe Trauner, I seem to remember something along those lines) have announced that they plan to run in 2008. Some, like Negron, have explicitly said that they will not run in 2008.

OK, I knew about Bradley, Kissell, Grant, an Ryun, but don't know about the others.

I've done a bit more research. Jennings says she will run in 2008 even if her court case is unsuccessful; Collins will not run in 2008.

Personally, I think it's unlikely that Pombo, Seals, Fitzpatrick and Hart will run again. I don't know enough about Hafen and Brown to say whether they're likely to run again. Brown probably only will if Doolittle gets into more trouble.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: February 05, 2007, 01:09:35 PM »

I would put money on Rob Simmons running again in CT-02, and him winning.

  He was the most vunrable Congressman, considering his district was the most democrat seat held by a republican, only to lose by under 100 votes in a democratic wave. I think he makes a comeback in 2008, and pulls it off.

I don't think so.  Ken Lucas could not make a comeback in a district that was as Republican as CT-02 is Democratic.  Especially in a Presidential year.

Moreover, Lucas had retired, whereas Simmons was actually defeated. He wouldn't stand a chance in 2008, and by 2010 he'll be stale.
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