PA/MT/TN/RI could the dems win all four?

[12th Doctor]

Chafee is under pressure from the White House.

Probably the only one on this list the the Dems have over a 50% chance of getting.

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Yeah, Mississippi is getting more liberal too.

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Surely you have no idea what you are talking about.  The fact that the average poll has Casey barely ahead is a sure sign that Santorum has the advantage when this race acctually starts.

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His own people have admited that their internal poll numbers don't look very good.

[12th Doctor]

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I remember about a week before the Election they showed a poll with Kirk and Cornyn at 49% each. I also remember laughing at the TV. Think he'll run again?

Not a chance.  And even if he didn't, there's pretty much no way he could pull more than he did in 2002.

I remember that poll.  Zogby conducted it.  Yet another reason why I'm not confident that Zogby understands how to poll Texas properly.

The only polling company that polled Texas pretty well in 2004 consistently was SurveyUSA, iirc.

SUSA was probably the most acurate polling agency in 2004.

They were the closest (by margin) in Minnesota, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, PA, Nevada and Colorado