CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

UT David Perdue seems to be outrunning Trump.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The Tillis/Cunningham overperformance keeps see-sawing but Tillis is currently beating Trump by 1 in terms of margin. I don't think that'll be quite enough.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Bullock leads 50.5% to 49% in exit polling

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The AP's called it: the night has been taken from Donna Shalala.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

DOUG COLLINS HAS CONCEDED.

Loeffler v.s. Warnock runoff

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Cassidy wins outright. No runoff in LA.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Hyde-Smith wins Mississippi.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

AP calls GA-special as a Loeffler-Warnock race.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Ronchetti is doing really good, running 5 points ahead of Trump.

He is, but it's just been called for Lujan.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1323891890266071049
GOP gaining back in California.

They also gained in Westchester. For all the talk of #realignment, they aren't doing uniformly worse in richer suburban areas.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I still can’t believe that Shalala lost.

The night was, in fact, taken from her.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

AP calls ME-02 for Golden.

Impressive considering the terrible Democratic performance elsewhere, but he'll be in serious jeopardy in 2022.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Schumer needs to step down.

AOC primary when

Why wait? Install Durbin before the runoffs.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Lots of mail out still for PA-07 and PA-17, but Lackawanna seems like its done - is Cartwright cooked? That seems almost even more insane to me.

Also, have to see what's left in Dauphin, but Depasquale losing by 10 makes no sense ether.

It makes perfect sense. DePasquale was favoured in a wave environment, but the polling suggested his candidate quality (in terms of him outperforming Biden) was always overhyped.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

McAdams’ lead over Owens shrinks to 2599 votes with 70% of the vote in.

If he ends up falling behind only with the final batches in, consider it the curse of Mia Love.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

KS-SEN: Marshall leads Bollier by 13 points with 98% of the vote in.

Strong candidate Roger Marshall was real. With the eventual NUT map, he'll ascend not only to the Senate but to Valhalla where electoral titans like John Cornyn reside.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

IL17's been called for Bustos by AP/the NYT, saving House leadership an embarrassment.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The AP calls it for Haley Stevens. That's late, though, and it should be clear that gun control rhetoric should be silenced, yesterday.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Bernie, Warren, and The Squad are to blame for House losses.  This "Medicare 4 All, Green New Deal, Defund the Police, Abolish ICE" bullsh**t cost us votes.  During my text-banking for Biden and Christina Hale, I got a LOT of these replies.

Again: your monkeys, your circus, and "I would have voted for your candidate but some other candidate said Medicare for All," is more likely to be uttered by a partisan than a genuinely persuadable voter (exit polls are janky but 70% of voters this time supported a government-run healthcare system, over 60% of Floridians voted for a minimum wage, etc.). The DJT performance this time is a strong case for Democrats needing to focus more on base activation and turnout.

In Haley Stevens' case, she's underperforming Biden and Peters not because of "defunding the police," but because of her gun control activism. If moderation is the answer, it has to come on non-kitchen table issues like these - Biden needs to stop touting the assault weapons ban.

Edit: Democrats also need to stop listening to yellow avatars on trade if they intend to win back communities rocked by unregulated globalisation.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Bernie, Warren, and The Squad are to blame for House losses.  This "Medicare 4 All, Green New Deal, Defund the Police, Abolish ICE" bullsh**t cost us votes.  During my text-banking for Biden and Christina Hale, I got a LOT of these replies.

Again: your monkeys, your circus, and "I would have voted for your candidate but some other candidate said Medicare for All," is more likely to be uttered by a partisan than a genuinely persuadable voter (exit polls are janky but 70% of voters this time supported a government-run healthcare system, over 60% of Floridians voted for a minimum wage, etc.). The DJT performance this time is a strong case for Democrats needing to focus more on base activation and turnout.

In Haley Stevens' case, she's underperforming Biden and Peters not because of "defunding the police," but because of her gun control activism. If moderation is the answer, it has to come on non-kitchen table issues like these - Biden needs to stop touting the assault weapons ban.

Edit: Democrats also need to stop listening to yellow avatars on trade if they intend to win back communities rocked by unregulated globalisation.

No, M4A is pretty unpopular.  It has come to be associated with abolishing private health insurance and while universal healthcare is popular, abolishing private health insurance is a bridge too far even for a significant number of Democrats.

It is less popular than the public option largely because fewer Democrats defend it, but still more popular than the healthcare status quo. If you put it to a referendum, it would probably outperform Congressional Democrats like most progressive policies, because the party is a joke bleeding support for other reasons than Reagaonomics' alleged enduring popularity.

And frankly, gun control is far more important than doing universal healthcare the exact way the Squad wants to.

No, it isn't, because the extent to which it is possible to save lives via gun control without total and long-term political control is very limited. It may also be bad for a democracy in which state institutions could prove to be insufficient as checks and balances.

There are plenty of ways to do universal healthcare without abolishing private health insurance.  In any case, a Democratic Party that wimps out on gun control probably isn't even worth voting for.

Gun control turns out fewer voters than bread-and-butter issues yet irritates a distinct set of single-issue voters who would otherwise vote blue. It is a losing issue even while Democrats have a plurality behind them on it and pushing it weakens relevant political messaging on the threat of dictatorship (why are voters supposed to believe that's a risk if you're comfortable taking their means of self-defence?) and police reform.

Gun violence causes a comparatively small number of deaths per year (compared to, say, poor road maintenance or lack of health insurance) and that is including all gun violence as opposed to violence that would only happen so long as gun control wasn't in place (which is only a minority of gun violence to begin with).

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The democrats nominated Joe Biden lol. He and most swing seat candidates openly denounced defund the police at every opportunity. If all it takes for republicans to win is progressive activists saying anything, than your done anyway lmao.

Basically this. Harris and a bunch of Congresspeople should be less online on the social issues, but it if really was the woke activists that did it for these Democrats (and I doubt it), it's to be minimised at worst or leaned into at best if it works (as with Qanon for the GOP). The party, the country and social media is way too decentralised for everyone on DSA Twitter to be censored, not that this power would be a good thing in any case considering how awful the national leadership has consistently been on many issues.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Meanwhile the AP has projected that fmr. Congressman Darrell Issa will be returning back to Congress this time representing the 50th Congressional District in CA...Pelosis & Bidens worst nightmare.

It really isn’t. They get to avoid obvious grifter Ammar Campa-Najjar and get another walking opportunity to portray GOP Representatives as corrupt elites. This is one of the least bad losses for House Democrats, along with Shalala’s seat.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Meanwhile the AP has projected that fmr. Congressman Darrell Issa will be returning back to Congress this time representing the 50th Congressional District in CA...Pelosis & Bidens worst nightmare.

It really isn’t. They get to avoid obvious grifter Ammar Campa-Najjar and get another walking opportunity to portray GOP Representatives as corrupt elites. This is one of the least bad losses for House Democrats, along with Shalala’s seat.

This is such an hilariously bad argument from you. Pelosi is the one who is corrupt. Running as Speaker again, probably for the last time because in 2022 we will retire her once and for all. Her stubborness not wanting to make a Deal with the Administration when it comes to COVID-19 Relief Bill did cost her a lot of House Seats.

I won’t dispute that Pelosi is corrupt. However, the corrupt have successfully painted others as corrupt before and Issa is easier to cast this way than your average GOP House member.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Meanwhile the AP has projected that fmr. Congressman Darrell Issa will be returning back to Congress this time representing the 50th Congressional District in CA...Pelosis & Bidens worst nightmare.

It really isn’t. They get to avoid obvious grifter Ammar Campa-Najjar and get another walking opportunity to portray GOP Representatives as corrupt elites. This is one of the least bad losses for House Democrats, along with Shalala’s seat.

This is such an hilariously bad argument from you. Pelosi is the one who is corrupt. Running as Speaker again, probably for the last time because in 2022 we will retire her once and for all. Her stubborness not wanting to make a Deal with the Administration when it comes to COVID-19 Relief Bill did cost her a lot of House Seats.

Yeah what Pelosi did with the COVID relief bill should be enough to get her booted from her speakership.  She should have passed what Mnuchin offered her (1.8 trillion).

That move might have won Biden the election though.

It might have helped House Democrats but would have been much more likely to hurt than help Biden.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Meanwhile the AP has projected that fmr. Congressman Darrell Issa will be returning back to Congress this time representing the 50th Congressional District in CA...Pelosis & Bidens worst nightmare.

It really isn’t. They get to avoid obvious grifter Ammar Campa-Najjar and get another walking opportunity to portray GOP Representatives as corrupt elites. This is one of the least bad losses for House Democrats, along with Shalala’s seat.

This is such an hilariously bad argument from you. Pelosi is the one who is corrupt. Running as Speaker again, probably for the last time because in 2022 we will retire her once and for all. Her stubborness not wanting to make a Deal with the Administration when it comes to COVID-19 Relief Bill did cost her a lot of House Seats.

Yeah what Pelosi did with the COVID relief bill should be enough to get her booted from her speakership.  She should have passed what Mnuchin offered her (1.8 trillion).

That move might have won Biden the election though.

It might have helped House Democrats but would have been much more likely to hurt than help Biden.

Pelosi’s job was to help House Democrats, not Biden.

I'm not even sure it would have done that - it would depend on whether the people giving Trump credit for relief were prepared to split their tickets for the other folks responsible for the relief bill. Regardless, it should have happened anyway.