Mason-Dixon Polls: OH, WV, WI (user search)
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  Mason-Dixon Polls: OH, WV, WI (search mode)
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Author Topic: Mason-Dixon Polls: OH, WV, WI  (Read 4830 times)
kevinatcausa
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Posts: 196
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E: -1.94, S: -5.04

« on: October 19, 2008, 12:15:55 PM »

One thing I do remember about Ohio is that Obama under-performed his poll numbers on Super Tuesday.

Surprisingly, this wasn't really the case. 

Clinton's final margin in Ohio was 8.65%.  The March polls were:

SurveyUSA: Clinton +10
ARG: Clinton +14, Clinton +7
PPP: Clinton+9
Suffolk: Clinton+12
Rasmussen: Clinton+6
Quinnipac: Clinton+4
Zogby: Tie and Obama+2

The average of the non-Zogby polls was Clinton +8.86%.  That of the non-Zogby, non-ARG polls was Clinton +8.2%.

So while you can safely say that Obama underperformed his Zogby numbers, the rest of the polls were pretty accurate. 

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