Luna will win but Democrats will probably eventually take the district. The way Dennis Orbanized the place, if he wins and hecks up, Democrats will probably win bigly at the house level in Florida in 26. I mean, Florida is probably drifting R because of depolarization based on race, but Democrats will probably improve in here and maybe AZ/NV once they start doing better with pro-choice WWCs.
If the GOP took power and passed abortion ban at national level they would probably see the dam break with white voters of all education levels.