FL 13 St Petes Poll Luna +1
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Author Topic: FL 13 St Petes Poll Luna +1  (Read 1145 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« on: October 30, 2022, 09:56:50 AM »
« edited: October 30, 2022, 10:00:58 AM by GeorgiaModerate »

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Devils30
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2022, 10:18:04 AM »

Unlikely to be that close but in a Trump +7 district it would be a great result for Dems.
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Person Man
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2022, 10:25:40 AM »
« Edited: October 30, 2022, 10:29:52 AM by Person Man »

Luna will win but Democrats will probably eventually take the district. The way Dennis Orbanized the place, if he wins and hecks up, Democrats will probably win bigly at the house level in Florida in 26. I mean, Florida is probably drifting R because of depolarization based on race, but Democrats will probably improve in here and maybe AZ/NV once they start doing better with pro-choice WWCs.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2022, 10:40:22 AM »

Luna will win but Democrats will probably eventually take the district. The way Dennis Orbanized the place, if he wins and hecks up, Democrats will probably win bigly at the house level in Florida in 26. I mean, Florida is probably drifting R because of depolarization based on race, but Democrats will probably improve in here and maybe AZ/NV once they start doing better with pro-choice WWCs.

Do you Doom or do you have confidence of voting, or have you voted yet because I am pumped I already voted, you know Ds as well as Rs are Voting
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2022, 11:14:27 AM »

There have been a few credible independent polls now over the past few months showing this race inexplicably close.  I guess Safe R -> Likely R, but I am still extremely skeptical that this will be even remotely close.
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Devils30
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2022, 12:32:57 PM »

Luna will win but Democrats will probably eventually take the district. The way Dennis Orbanized the place, if he wins and hecks up, Democrats will probably win bigly at the house level in Florida in 26. I mean, Florida is probably drifting R because of depolarization based on race, but Democrats will probably improve in here and maybe AZ/NV once they start doing better with pro-choice WWCs.

If the GOP took power and passed abortion ban at national level they would probably see the dam break with white voters of all education levels.
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2022, 12:39:15 PM »

This is the same Pollster that claimed Biden would win Pinellas County in 2020 by 9 Percentage Points and it ended up being less than 2000 Votes.

9 % Undecided? C'mon, give me a break!
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2022, 12:52:43 PM »

Lol, the current numbers in Florida are brutal for Democrats, this truly shows how pathetic the polling industry has become.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2022, 01:11:31 PM »
« Edited: October 30, 2022, 01:16:36 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Lol, the current numbers in Florida are brutal for Democrats, this truly shows how pathetic the polling industry has become.


The NATIONAL TREND OF EARLY VOTING IS 47/35 D, whom cares about FL we don't need it anyways, weren't you a Michael Bennet supporter, Ds are surely outvoting Rs in CO and IL, NY and CA and NV and PA, blue wall state's

FL is a Republican version of California anyways
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2022, 07:34:50 PM »

Here are the Breakdowns of the current Early Vote in FL per Congressional District:


Republicans lead Democrats by 3.2 Percentage Points in FL-13. Why this "Brazen Poll" has Luna and Lynn tied is beyond me.
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Devils30
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2022, 08:05:57 PM »

Here are the Breakdowns of the current Early Vote in FL per Congressional District:


Republicans lead Democrats by 3.2 Percentage Points in FL-13. Why this "Brazen Poll" has Luna and Lynn tied is beyond me.

Wonder if they polled the old district like Emerson did with NM.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2022, 08:13:12 PM »

Here are the Breakdowns of the current Early Vote in FL per Congressional District:

Republicans lead Democrats by 3.2 Percentage Points in FL-13. Why this "Brazen Poll" has Luna and Lynn tied is beyond me.

Wonder if they polled the old district like Emerson did with NM.

I would hope that a local pollster knows the new district lines.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2022, 08:16:25 PM »

Here are the Breakdowns of the current Early Vote in FL per Congressional District:

Republicans lead Democrats by 3.2 Percentage Points in FL-13. Why this "Brazen Poll" has Luna and Lynn tied is beyond me.

Wonder if they polled the old district like Emerson did with NM.

I would hope that a local pollster knows the new district lines.

I mean, the Republican is a real lunatic
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2022, 08:24:56 PM »

Does anyone think Crist could have won re-election had he run here?
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Donerail
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« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2022, 08:27:19 PM »

Rs nominated an e-thot in a district full of people who call their grandchildren to troubleshoot their AOL, of course they're not gonna overperform here.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2022, 08:35:44 PM »

Does anyone think Crist could have won re-election had he run here?

Possible, but unlikely
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iceman
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2022, 09:42:36 PM »

Here are the Breakdowns of the current Early Vote in FL per Congressional District:


Republicans lead Democrats by 3.2 Percentage Points in FL-13. Why this "Brazen Poll" has Luna and Lynn tied is beyond me.


hard to imagine the Jacksonville-based district to be so lopsidedly GOP.
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TwinGeeks99
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2022, 11:10:31 PM »

Here are the Breakdowns of the current Early Vote in FL per Congressional District:

Republicans lead Democrats by 3.2 Percentage Points in FL-13. Why this "Brazen Poll" has Luna and Lynn tied is beyond me.


hard to imagine the Jacksonville-based district to be so lopsidedly GOP.
The Democrats didn't contest the 5th district; John Rutherford is running unopposed.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2022, 06:33:17 PM »

FYI this poll has DeSantis and Rubio only leading by 1 and 2 points as well. Take that as you will. Also 2nd reminder Crist wasn't god tier in Pinellas in 2020 and only outperformed Biden by 2 points in margin.

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