Marquette - WI Sen - Barnes +7 (user search)
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  Marquette - WI Sen - Barnes +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Marquette - WI Sen - Barnes +7  (Read 2182 times)
Minnesota Mike
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« on: August 17, 2022, 12:26:38 PM »

Just as important as the margin is the trend.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2022, 12:51:24 PM »

Barnes+7 and Evers+2 in the same poll is not a combination I would have expected.
The weird thing is the independent who's taking 7% in the gov race seems relatively conservative.. (cites "dishonest media" and she's pro life).

- Ideology matters hardly at all for 3rd party voters, voting 3rd party is a protest vote. See Pot parties in Minnesota.

- I would be very surprised if she ended up with 7% of the vote, 3rd party candidates almost always poll better than they actually do.
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Minnesota Mike
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Posts: 4,087


« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2022, 01:05:51 PM »

Barnes+7 and Evers+2 in the same poll is not a combination I would have expected.
The weird thing is the independent who's taking 7% in the gov race seems relatively conservative.. (cites "dishonest media" and she's pro life).

- Ideology matters hardly at all for 3rd party voters, voting 3rd party is a protest vote. See Pot parties in Minnesota.

- I would be very surprised if she ended up with 7% of the vote, 3rd party candidates almost always poll better than they actually do.
Sure the pot party demographic are by enlarge disaffected dem leaning voters..


Independents typically don't poll 7% obviously.. so she's either very well known or there's significant heave/disillusionment against Evers.

Not the thread for it but pot parties draw pretty evenly between Republicans and Democrats. Third parties are usually just NOTA.
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