KY-Mason Dixon: Bevin Trails by 8

[ON Progressive]

This is definitely competitive (Conway never polled this well), but I still think Bevin's favoured.

Lean R.

[ON Progressive]

Safe R because of POLARIZATION

You can't forget one other very important reason:
Kentucky is INELASTIC.

[ON Progressive]

Safe R because of POLARIZATION

Careful, these were the same type of posts people made to mock my prediction that OK-Gov was safe R whenever a good poll for the Democrats came out.

Edmondson never was ahead by 8 in any poll, and he definitely never polled at 48%. In fact, Edmondson never even polled at 45.

[ON Progressive]

Are the “Safe R Kentucky” people just going to ignore the fact Conway never polled at 48, and got the exact vote share polls said he would, or does that ruin their narrative?

It’s Lean R, not Safe R.