🇵🇹 Portugal's politics and elections 2.0

[Niemeyerite]

So people think Chega is to the left of CDS and just slightly more conservative than Rio's PSD? That's surprising.

[Niemeyerite]

Are there any Portugalese votecompasses/vote matchers?

Normally there is one, and it will probably be made, but parties manifestos are still being presented, and maybe only in one/two weeks there will be a votecompass.

Here it is:

https://observador.pt/interativo/votometro-legislativas-2022/

I for:

Livre 90%
BE 87%
PS 86%
CDU 75%
PAN 69%
PSD 63%
IL 53%
CDS 37%
Chega 25%

I guess I'd vote BE (or PS depending on the campaign) if I were Portuguese. I thought I had more in common with CDU and PAN. And I never really considered Livre a serious option. Can they really survive after the JKM debacle? That's surprising to me.

[Niemeyerite]

How bad does the PSD performance have to be for Rio to lose the leadership?

I think if it's not very very close, he has to go.

[Niemeyerite]

Praying for a PS majority. Costa deserves it.

[Niemeyerite]

How bad does the PSD performance have to be for Rio to lose the leadership?

I think if it's not very very close, he has to go.

Do you mean "very very close" between the two parties, or between the two blocs? I expect you mean the former, but I want to be sure.

I meant parties. But he's out for sure after this.

[Niemeyerite]

It seems likely that Chega will miss their goal to reach the 7% mark.

how is cds doing?

Badly. You need about 2% to win a seat in Lisbon. They have 1,7%. It will be very close. They’re out of contention for a seat in Porto.

Só Livre will possibly get a seat (2.15% in Lisbon ATM) and maybe Pan too (1.92%)?? I hope both enter the Parliament while CDS doesn't.

[Niemeyerite]

The % of remaining uncalled seats needed for PS to win a majority has continued to drop, now just about 39%.

But a good part of the uncalled seats are in Lisboa and Porto where PS is unlikely to get a majority of the remaining seats.

But, as explained, they don't need a majority. Just 39%.