How likely are the following coalitions by 2040? (user search)
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  How likely are the following coalitions by 2040? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How likely are the following coalitions by 2040?  (Read 1578 times)
DS0816
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,167
« on: January 27, 2024, 10:52:53 PM »

White: Tie
Hispanic: R +20
Black: D +25
Other: R +5

18-29: R +10
30-44: R +8
45-64: R +5
65+: D +20

Below median income: R +30
Above median income: D +25

Urban: R +20
Suburban: D +30
Rural: R +30




I am considering, on a national level, Whites realigning Democratic and Blacks realigning Republican for changing coalitions.

That this could happen with the 18–29 (realigning Republican) and the 65+ (realigning Democratic) voting-age groups.

To present margins would be distracting; it could lead to talking about general-election outcomes and, ultimately, come across as being more about the winning party for a given United States presidential election cycle.

I am considering realigning voting patterns for party coalitions.
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