MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,269
Political Matrix E: -7.42, S: -8.78
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« on: January 13, 2017, 11:53:40 PM » |
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Merkel is having her worst polling numbers in years and she's still a dozen points up on the SPD. Wilders' PVV will almost certainly be the single largest party in the parliament but he won't be able to get enough support to enter government alone and no other leader will risk alienating their base by going into a coalition with him. If I had to guess right now, a center-right coalition of VVD, CDA and D66 in the Netherlands with maybe outside support from PvdA and/or the smaller Christian parties (Christian Union, Reformed Party).
Norway is the only election where the left looks like it has any sort of shot. Come on, Arbeiderpartiet! Of course, they always finish first.* They're gonna need the Center Party and Socialist Left to pick up seats or else it's Solberg again.
*I actually looked it up. The last time Arbeiderpartiet did not finish first in a Norwegian election was 1924. It's been the single largest party in every single election since. 22 straight, nearly 100 years.
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