Wilders' PVV will almost certainly be the single largest party in the parliament but he won't be able to get enough support to enter government alone and no other leader will risk alienating their base by going into a coalition with him.
Too strong a statement. Let's remember the SP was firmly first in the polls until four weeks before the 2012 election. It's probably more likely than not that the PVV will come first at this point, but far from "almost certain." As for other parties alienating their base by cooperating with the PVV, that would not be the case for the VVD and 50Plus, who are damned if they do and damned if they don't.