CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA
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  CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA  (Read 109968 times)
136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1375 on: June 12, 2018, 10:42:40 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...



Pat Spearman is losing badly though.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #1376 on: June 12, 2018, 10:44:17 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...




Over 90% voted for a bro for California governor over a qualified woman elected twice statewide.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1377 on: June 12, 2018, 10:45:36 PM »
Keeps dropping


Republican Primary
Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
50.7%   Katie Arrington   30,851   
46.4%   Mark Sanford*   28,196   
2.9%   Dimitri Cherny   1,777   
92.6% of precincts reporting (327/353)   *Incumbent
60,824 total votes

I wonder if Sanford even knows about the runoff process.
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BBD
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« Reply #1378 on: June 12, 2018, 10:46:28 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 12, 2018, 10:37:21 PM
Danny Tarkanian will get a 2nd chance.

Pretty sure it's been like half a dozen+ at this point...
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #1379 on: June 12, 2018, 10:46:46 PM »
Thank the Democrats of Androscoggin County Maine for stopping Lucas.
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Doimper
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« Reply #1380 on: June 12, 2018, 10:46:49 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 12, 2018, 10:44:17 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...




97% voted for a bro for California governor over a qualified woman elected twice statewide.

Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:42:40 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...



Pat Spearman is losing badly though.

"A trend is occurring."

"BUT WHAT ABOUT THIS SINGLE DATA POINT? CHECKMATE."
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1381 on: June 12, 2018, 10:49:02 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on June 12, 2018, 10:46:49 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 12, 2018, 10:44:17 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...




97% voted for a bro for California governor over a qualified woman elected twice statewide.

Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:42:40 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...



Pat Spearman is losing badly though.

"A trend is occurring."

"BUT WHAT ABOUT THIS SINGLE DATA POINT? CHECKMATE."

The Reuters concern trolls in a nutshell, lol.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #1382 on: June 12, 2018, 10:49:21 PM »
Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:45:36 PM
Keeps dropping


Republican Primary
Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
50.7%   Katie Arrington   30,851   
46.4%   Mark Sanford*   28,196   
2.9%   Dimitri Cherny   1,777   
92.6% of precincts reporting (327/353)   *Incumbent
60,824 total votes

I wonder if Sanford even knows about the runoff process.

Seems like he was ready to go take a hike
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1383 on: June 12, 2018, 10:50:00 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on June 12, 2018, 10:46:49 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 12, 2018, 10:44:17 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...




97% voted for a bro for California governor over a qualified woman elected twice statewide.

Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:42:40 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...



Pat Spearman is losing badly though.

"A trend is occurring."

"BUT WHAT ABOUT THIS SINGLE DATA POINT? CHECKMATE."

I wasn't trying to make that argument.  I was pointing out that even with the general edge given to women candidates that she's still losing badly (and this is a surprise to me.)  She was regarded as a serious candidate.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #1384 on: June 12, 2018, 10:51:32 PM »
Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:50:00 PM
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on June 12, 2018, 10:46:49 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 12, 2018, 10:44:17 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...




97% voted for a bro for California governor over a qualified woman elected twice statewide.

Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:42:40 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...



Pat Spearman is losing badly though.

"A trend is occurring."

"BUT WHAT ABOUT THIS SINGLE DATA POINT? CHECKMATE."

I wasn't trying to make that argument.  I was pointing out that even with the general edge given to women candidates that she's still losing badly.  She was regarded as a serious candidate.
She stopped being a serious candidate when Horsford entered.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1385 on: June 12, 2018, 10:52:58 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 12, 2018, 10:51:32 PM
Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:50:00 PM
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on June 12, 2018, 10:46:49 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 12, 2018, 10:44:17 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...




97% voted for a bro for California governor over a qualified woman elected twice statewide.

Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:42:40 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...



Pat Spearman is losing badly though.

"A trend is occurring."

"BUT WHAT ABOUT THIS SINGLE DATA POINT? CHECKMATE."

I wasn't trying to make that argument.  I was pointing out that even with the general edge given to women candidates that she's still losing badly.  She was regarded as a serious candidate.
She stopped being a serious candidate when Horsford entered.

I preferred her!
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #1386 on: June 12, 2018, 10:53:36 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on June 12, 2018, 10:46:49 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 12, 2018, 10:44:17 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...




97% voted for a bro for California governor over a qualified woman elected twice statewide.

Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:42:40 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...



Pat Spearman is losing badly though.

"A trend is occurring."

"BUT WHAT ABOUT THIS SINGLE DATA POINT? CHECKMATE."

I didn't deny a trend. But there was crickets from the usual people about how we need to break the glass ceiling of the California governorship.
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YE
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« Reply #1387 on: June 12, 2018, 10:53:44 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 12, 2018, 10:51:32 PM
Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:50:00 PM
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on June 12, 2018, 10:46:49 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 12, 2018, 10:44:17 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...




97% voted for a bro for California governor over a qualified woman elected twice statewide.

Quote from: 136or142 on June 12, 2018, 10:42:40 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2018, 10:36:49 PM
So many women...



Pat Spearman is losing badly though.

"A trend is occurring."

"BUT WHAT ABOUT THIS SINGLE DATA POINT? CHECKMATE."

I wasn't trying to make that argument.  I was pointing out that even with the general edge given to women candidates that she's still losing badly.  She was regarded as a serious candidate.
She stopped being a serious candidate when Horsford entered.

She was a serious candidate just that NV is still machine driven in Reid's retirement.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #1388 on: June 12, 2018, 10:54:43 PM »
Anyways, does anyone think Stewart being on the top of the ticket increases the chance of a flip in VA-02, VA-05, and VA-07?
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1389 on: June 12, 2018, 10:57:54 PM »
Boy at the rate this is going St Clair might catch Jared
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #1390 on: June 12, 2018, 10:58:23 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 12, 2018, 10:54:43 PM
Anyways, does anyone think Stewart being on the top of the ticket increases the chance of a flip in VA-02, VA-05, and VA-07?

7 looks better 2 is pretty marginal and 5 seems a long shot.
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YE
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« Reply #1391 on: June 12, 2018, 10:58:50 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on June 12, 2018, 10:57:54 PM
Boy at the rate this is going St Clair might catch Jared

Most of the territory from here on in favors St Clair but he's still down double digits with 60% in. So he faces an uphill battle.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1392 on: June 12, 2018, 11:00:50 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 12, 2018, 10:54:43 PM
Anyways, does anyone think Stewart being on the top of the ticket increases the chance of a flip in VA-02, VA-05, and VA-07?

This was discussed earlier starting here: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=292616.msg6252331#msg6252331

Actually, it wasn't discussed much there.  I must have got it mixed up with a twitter discussion I saw on it.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1393 on: June 12, 2018, 11:02:48 PM »
Who is likelier to top 50% Golden or Arrington?
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1394 on: June 12, 2018, 11:04:21 PM »
Quote from: The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton on June 12, 2018, 10:58:23 PM
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 12, 2018, 10:54:43 PM
Anyways, does anyone think Stewart being on the top of the ticket increases the chance of a flip in VA-02, VA-05, and VA-07?

7 looks better 2 is pretty marginal and 5 seems a long shot.

I think the second district will be very competitive. It's in the increasingly Democratic leaning Hampton Roads/Norfolk urban area and Luria is a strong candidate.
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Virginiá
Virginia
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« Reply #1395 on: June 12, 2018, 11:05:27 PM »
Quote from: YE on June 12, 2018, 10:07:45 PM
2014 basically had no Democratic governor primary and Dem turnout was historically bad in both the primary and GE. 2010 would be a better comparison here.

Oh, fair point. How does it compare to 2010?
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1396 on: June 12, 2018, 11:05:35 PM »
Arrington has done it


Republican Primary
Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
50.6%   Katie Arrington   31,952   
46.5%   Mark Sanford*   29,328   
2.9%   Dimitri Cherny   1,853   
98.9% of precincts reporting (349/353)   *Incumbent
63,133 total votes
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1397 on: June 12, 2018, 11:08:08 PM »
Good riddance to Sanford.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1398 on: June 12, 2018, 11:09:06 PM »
As I projected earlier, Arrington stayed above 50%:

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Katie Arrington
31,952   50.6%   
Mark Sanford*
29,328   46.5   
Dimitri Cherny
1,853   2.9   
63,133 votes, 99% reporting (349 of 353 precincts)
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1399 on: June 12, 2018, 11:09:48 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on June 12, 2018, 11:09:06 PM
As I projected earlier, Arrington stayed above 50%:

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Katie Arrington
31,952   50.6%   
Mark Sanford*
29,328   46.5   
Dimitri Cherny
1,853   2.9   
63,133 votes, 99% reporting (349 of 353 precincts)

Why do you want to ban McDonalds?
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