Motorcity
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,471
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« on: April 10, 2021, 05:59:46 PM » |
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Probably not.
Warren has no reason to drop out. In early March, there was a high possibility (said the pundits) of a contested convention. Warren staying and getting 3rd place allows her to be a compromise candidate at a contested convention between the moderate and progressive fractions. Plus, if she stays in and splits the progressive vote, Biden might reward her with VP.
But let’s say Warren drops out before Super Tuesday and endorses Bernie. And let’s assume Bloomberg stays in (BIG IF). And ALL of Warren voters vote for Bernie (A BIGGER IF)
Bernie would barely win Maine, Massachusetts, Washington, Minnesota, and Texas. And if literally every Warren supporter voted Bernie, he could win Oklahoma by a few hundred votes. Less than a percentage point.
Ok, now Bernie has momentum. But Biden still leads in delegates. But than Bloomberg drops out. Than Biden wins a majority in every stats after that. In the long run I don’t know if anything changes. COVID will still happen. Biden gave Bernie everything he wanted despite losing
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