Sinema was up 4 in their last poll, and 6 in the one before that. Yikes. She really might blow this. I'm sad to say I've been right all these months, yet it was brushed off because of muh June polls.
Sinema completely squandered the year long head start she had by running endless moderate hero ads and never laying a finger on McSally. And this is what she has to show for it. What an awful candidate and a terrible campaign. Yet Atlas insisted AZ was more likely to flip than NV.
It's absolutely insane that she had a year to gather an enormous campaign warchest and attack McSally during the primaries, when she was at her most vulnerable and when Republicans were far more likely to want to listen to negatives about her.
Sinema never ran a single notable negative ad against McSally until after the primary. An absolute disgrace of a campaign.
Anyway, this is clearly Lean R at this point. Again, as I stated in the other thread and all the hacks attacked me over, I will accept my accolades when McSally wins 52-47 in November.