2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Non Swing Voter]

Hidalgo County, Texas

Biden: 59%
Trump: 40%

Clinton: 68%
Trump: 28%


Uhhh, is anyone else concerned by like the 20% swing to Trump in like exclusively Mexican-American counties?

I mean this is like Bush in 2004 levels amongst hispanics. Regardless of who wins, this is going to be the story of the night.

He literally staked his political career on hispanics being evil and they vote for him.  Don't get it.

[Kuumo]

Trump is up 11 points in Hamilton County, Indiana with 96% reporting.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Biden didn’t take „Latinos for granted“.

It’s more a combination of Latinos not wanting more of their folk coming into the US illegally when they themselves came often legally and stick to the rules, buying more and more into Trumps tough immigration rhetoric. Also, many Latinos are machos.

Biden took Latinos for granted. His outreach was consistently terrible during the primaries and we've little reason to believe that changed during the GE. Even in FL where they were much less drawn to Sanders, Bloomberg polled well (often better than Biden).

If Cubans in FL were easily swayed by Trump calling *Joe Biden* a socialist, there was no saving them.

Biden did a bad job defining himself with Latinos. My feeling was that calling him a socialist wouldn't work for most people, but without strong Democratic messaging it was easy for Trump to shape the narrative with Spanish ads and pointing to the craziest of Biden voters. Democrats overestimated how outraged your average Cuban or Mexican (at least in Texas, so far) would be by Trump's "racist statements" and forgot to actually put forward a positive image of Biden.

[Suburbia]

Biden-Harris wins, but closely.....

If Biden retires in '24, Harris needs to do better with black men.......

On ABC News, they were discussing Biden's weaknesses with black voters. As a black man myself, I detest Kamala Harris, and voted for Biden in spite of her. This is definitely an area of concern for Democrats moving forward.

I don't know if the problem is that she is married to a white man (it shouldn't matter), if she wins the vice presidency, she needs to go to more Black neighborhoods

[Agonized-Statism]

Unfortunately, we can't fix stupid.

Unfortunately, the choice was a red wolf or a blue wolf.

[Gracile]

Biden still has a lot of upside in the Atlanta metro.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Why hasn’t Wasserman tweeted?

He's working for NBC's decision desk and out of contact.

[Bootes Void]

Trump is up 11 points in Hamilton County, Indiana with 96% reporting.

+19.5 in 2016

[AncestralDemocrat.]

In other news.. 90% of Atlas analysis should be disregarded.

[Rules for me, but not for thee]

..maybe Hillary wasn't such a bad candidate after all.

Just sayin'.

It would be a huge vindication for Hillary if Biden loses tonight.

If Biden had Tulsi or Yang as VP, would've got my vote. Too bad.

[SPQR]

Any clues on what to expect from the remaining votes in NC?

[GeorgiaModerate]

In other news.. 90% of Atlas analysis should be disregarded.

Depending on the absentee votes, of course.

[Storr]

In other news.. 90% of Atlas analysis should be disregarded.

This, I can agree with you on.

[Omega21]

LOL IMAGINE WHAT HOW BIDEN'S REACTING RIGHT NOW.

Rich of you to assume he's still up this late.

[dunceDude]

In other news.. 90% of Atlas analysis should be disregarded.

Everyone here is giving Rick and Morty Szechuan Sauce McDonalds energy ... the combination of stupidity and eagerness to overshare has created one of the dumbest threads I've ever seen.

[GP270watch]

Hidalgo County, Texas

Biden: 59%
Trump: 40%

Clinton: 68%
Trump: 28%


Uhhh, is anyone else concerned by like the 20% swing to Trump in like exclusively Mexican-American counties?

I mean this is like Bush in 2004 levels amongst hispanics. Regardless of who wins, this is going to be the story of the night.

He literally staked his political career on hispanics being evil and they vote for him.  Don't get it.

 There are a lot of white Hispanics, Obama/Biden deported a lot of people(more than Trump). A lot of Mexican-Americans think Trump is all talk.

[Kuumo]

Trump is up 11 points in Hamilton County, Indiana with 96% reporting.

+19.5 in 2016

Provides evidence of a big suburban swing from 2016 in the Midwest.

[Calthrina950]

In other news.. 90% of Atlas analysis should be disregarded.

I certainly agree with this now. I'm actually kicking myself for believing that Biden could win by low double digit.

[Badger]

Hidalgo County, Texas

Biden: 59%
Trump: 40%

Clinton: 68%
Trump: 28%


Uhhh, is anyone else concerned by like the 20% swing to Trump in like exclusively Mexican-American counties?

I mean this is like Bush in 2004 levels amongst hispanics. Regardless of who wins, this is going to be the story of the night.

He literally staked his political career on hispanics being evil and they vote for him.  Don't get it.

[Fargobison]

The NC margin is going to be razor thin.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Wow, if Trump wins I hope the polling industry loses its credibility!

[AncestralDemocrat.]

In other news.. 90% of Atlas analysis should be disregarded.

Depending on the absentee votes, of course.

Even if Biden wins.. many Atlas users were completely disregarding Trump's improvement amongst Hispanics.

[politics_king]

FOX News website has Biden winning Ohio with over 80% probability.

Also has Biden winning NC at 93% and Biden winning GA at 75%.

Stuff is really not adding up at the moment; it's best to wait a while before wetting the bed.

Well then people shouldn't point to NYT and there predictor model. I swear the S avatars really out here rooting for a Trump win.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

..maybe Hillary wasn't such a bad candidate after all.

Just sayin'.

It would be a huge vindication for Hillary if Biden loses tonight.

If Biden had Tulsi or Yang as VP, would've got my vote. Too bad.

If becoming a meme is the requirement of getting a vote nowadays that's a sad statement in and of itself.

[The Free North]

North Carolina is down to 50k on DDHQ. Tillis down 20k, he'll win, I think Trump will too. Not a lot of vote left, but its been overwhelmingly Trump.