McCain Picks Pawlenty (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  McCain Picks Pawlenty (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What is your opinion so far?
#1
It's good, continue.
 
#2
It's bad, stop.
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 25

Author Topic: McCain Picks Pawlenty  (Read 12812 times)
Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« on: October 05, 2010, 05:19:28 PM »
« edited: October 17, 2010, 07:45:37 PM by Darth Yelnoc »

McCain Picks Pawlenty



August 29, 2008
John McCain announces his selection of Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty as his running mate.  McCain's Vice Presidential shortlist had been thinning its self out from the early summer speculation to three main candidates.  Romney, McCain's main competitor in the Republican primaries, was touted for his business experience but ultimately dropped in fear that his Mormonism might keep more social conservatives away from the ballot box in November.  McCain's personal favorite, the Democratic-turned independent senator from Connecticut, Joe Lieberman, was also dropped after several state delegations threatened to walk out of the convention if Lieberman was selected.  Governor Palin was briefly mentioned as an outside shot to energy the party and try and draw the female vote but was ultimately dismissed as to much of a long shot.  That left only Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, the establishment favorite.  Pawlenty would shore up the base without alienating any independent voters, similiar to Obama's selection of Joe Biden earlier this month.  The timing of this announcement is not a surprise; the McCain campaign hopes to minimize Obama's inevitable bump in the polls after the Democratic Convention ended yesterday.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2010, 07:11:49 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2010, 07:40:50 PM by Darth Yelnoc »

Republican National Convention



September 1, 2008
The Republican National Committee convenes in XCEL Energey Center in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota.  Speeches scheduled by President Bush and Vice President Cheney were cancelled due to Hurricane Gustav.  Laura Bush and Cindy McCain appeared together to deliver remarks in support of the hurricane relief effort.





September 3, 2008
Rudy Giuliani delivered the convention's keynote speech.  He spent much of it questioning Obama's judgement and lack of experience, high-lighting McCain's stance on terrorism, and praising Tim Pawlenty, stating "he already has more executive experience than the entire Democratic ticket".




Presumptive Vice-Presidential nominee Tim Pawlenty then spoke.  Pawlenty focused on his experience as Governor of Minnesota and his status as a Washington outsider.  His speech was well recieved by the delegates and political commentators.




After Pawlenty, Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney, McCain's two main competitors in the primaries, delivered their speeches.  This was followed by the Adoption and Announcement of Vice-Presidential nominee Tim Pwalenty, performed by US Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell.  Norm Coleman, Linda Lingle, Carly Fiorina, and Meg Whitman also spoke on this day.



September 4, 2008
John McCain kicked off the final day of the Republican National Convention with his acceptance speech, making him the official Republican Presidential nominee.  He was introduced by a video tribute.




McCain was followed by his wife, Cindy, who was also introduced by a video tribute.  Cindy introduced the seven McCain children to the audience.  Throughout her speech, she avoided directly criticizing Obama, choosing instead to praise her husband as a "straight talker" and one who has "shown the value of self-sacrifice daily".




After Cindy, John Thune, Tom Ridge, Sam Brownback, Bill Frist, Mel Martinez, John Ensign, Lindsey Graham, Tom Cole, Mary Fallin, Marsha Blackburn, Aaron Shock, and Rosario Marin all took to the stage.  This concluded the 2008 Republican National Convention.



September 5, 2008
An RCP General Election Poll was released showing Obama leading McCain 46.0 to 44.6.

The US unemployment rate reaches its highest level since December of 2003.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2010, 07:20:19 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2010, 07:58:15 PM by Darth Yelnoc »

Rally For the Republic



September 2, 2008
After suspending his presidential campaign back in June, Ron Paul created an organization called the Campaign for Liberty.  After being excluded from the Republican National Convention, Paul decided to hold his own event in Minneapolis's Target Center on one of the convention days.  There were many notable attendees in the crowd including New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson, former Governor Jesse Ventura, and Barry Goldwater Jr.  Tickets to the event were $17.76; over half sold in 12 hours.

During his speech, Ron Paul broke with the Republican party to endorse Libertarian candidate Bob Barr.  Pundits argue whether his choice to forsake his own party's nominee was at least partially influenced by the Convention's decision to not include him as a speaker.  Regardless, the Libertarian party had just recieved a huge boost.  Ron Paul also called the two-party system a charade and encouraged voters not comfortable with Libertarianism to vote for Chuck Baldwin of the Constiution Party, Cynthia McKinnley of the Greens, or Independent Candidate Ralph Nader.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2010, 07:59:14 PM »

I edited the polling data from September 5 and the Rally for the Republic, so if you havn't already I suggest that you reread those sections.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2010, 08:25:12 PM »

Realistically, Obama would still win in Nov., but Pawlenty as McCain's running mate instead of Palin would have interesting ramifications for the 2012 GOP nomination race.


I agree. I think Obama might even win bigger.
Why would he win bigger?  It seems like Pawlenty would have narrowed the gap a bit due to his not being a gaffe-machine.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2010, 07:55:21 AM »

Realistically, Obama would still win in Nov., but Pawlenty as McCain's running mate instead of Palin would have interesting ramifications for the 2012 GOP nomination race.


I agree. I think Obama might even win bigger.
Why would he win bigger?  It seems like Pawlenty would have narrowed the gap a bit due to his not being a gaffe-machine.

He's boring, uncharismatic. Palin was a gaffee machine but she sure got the base revved up.
Maybe, but she dorve away the independents.


And I'm guessing Lunar is a board member?

And guys, I'm sorry if you think this is off to a slow, boring start, but after the election yuo will begin to see some real changes.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2010, 04:32:09 PM »
« Edited: October 06, 2010, 05:21:49 PM by Darth Yelnoc »

Economic Crash



September 6-29, 2008
The financial crisis that began in 2007 after the housing bubble popped and the subprime mortgage fiasco was exposed reached its peak in September of 2008.  On September 6, it was announced that the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac corporations were being placed into a conservatorship run by the FHFA.  This decision had a chain effect on the Wall Street financial sector.  On September 15, the Lehman Brothers holding company filed for bankruptcy.  The day before, Merill Lynch had been bought by Bank of America.  Meanwhile, American Investment Group was suffering a liquidity crisis after its credit ratings were downloaded below AA.  The United States Federal Reserve was forced to offer an $85 billion rescue agreement to the corporation on September 16 in hopes of preventing the crisis from worsening.




The failure of these financial giants caused a bank run, in which people began withdrawing their assets from banks.  This interrupted the ability of corporations to replace their short-term debt.  On September 18, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke met with key legislatures to propose a $700 billion emergency bail-out.  This prompted John McCain to suspend his campaign and return to Washington D.C. to work on the proposal.  Unfortunately, the hope of a bail-out was unable to prevent Washington Mutual from folding, followed quickly by Wachovia.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2010, 05:32:57 PM »

Pawlenty Interviews


September 17, 2008
Republican VP candidate Tim Pawlenty was interviewed by CBS News Sunday Morning host Charles Osgood earlier in the week.  The first segment of the interview was aired on this day.  It was generally well received, with Pawlenty coming off as prepared and knowledgeable about a broad range of topics. 

 


September 19, 2008
An RCP General Election Poll was released showing Obama leading McCain 47.1 to 45.6.  This marks the end of McCain’s post-convention bounce, which had kept him above Obama for the past two weeks.  Obama overtaking McCain can be attributed at least partially to fears that Republicans may hinder the stimulus proposed yesterday to try and save what’s rest of the economy from falling apart.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2010, 04:17:46 PM »

I think all Pawlenty does is MAAAYBE reduce the size of the margins in the Midwest.

The right-wing were pretty unenthusiastic about McCain, Palin fired them up, and I doubt Pawlenty would have been able to do that.
Like I said, Pawlenty allows McCain to hold on to some of the independents; he is also still a socon that would allow McCain to retain some conservative support.  You are right though, he won't get the base as fired up.  Which might not be a bad thing.  Think long-term.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2010, 04:56:09 PM »

First Presidential Debate



September 26, 2008
The first presidential debate of the 2008 election was held on this day between Republic candidate John McCain and Democratic nominee Barack Obama.  Ever since Ron Paul’s high profile endorsement at the Rally for the Republic, there had been a large-scale movement to include Bob Barr in the debates.  Unfortunately for the Libertarians, the format to the debates had already been decided and Barr was excluded, similar to Ralph Nader in 2000.




The debates were watched by an estimated 54.2 million people.  Though the topic was originally supposed to focus on foreign policy and national security, moderator Jim Lehrer allowed the candidates to spend the first half debating the economy, due to the ongoing crisis.  A CBS poll of independent voters conducted immediately after the debate showed that 39% of those surveyed believed it was a tie, 36% thought Obama won, and 25% insisted McCain had triumphed.




September 28, 2008
An RCP General Election Poll was released showing Obama leading McCain 47.4 to 44.2.  While the Presidential debate may be part of the cause in McCain’s continued steady decline, it can be asserted that many voters are not impressed by the way the Republican Party is handling the financial crisis, which reflects poorly on his campaign.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2010, 06:06:09 PM »

Vice Presidential Debate



October 2, 2008
Senator Joe Biden met in St. Louis for the one and only Vice Presidential Debate.  The debate broke 45 million viewers, up from 2004.  The candidates debated for 90 minutes a wide variety of topics.  A poll conducted by CBS immediately after the debates found that 39% of those surveyed had thought Governor Pawlenty won, 32% believed Senator Biden to be the winner, and 29% considered the debate a draw.




October 5, 2008
An RCP General Election Poll was released showing Obama leading McCain 48.0 to 44.8.  Pawlenty’s performance gave McCain a mild boost, however, Obama has also continued to climb in the polls.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2010, 05:49:55 PM »

Second Presidential Debate



October 7, 2008
The Second Presidential debate of the election, the first in the town hall format, was held at the Belmont University in Nashville, Tennessee.  Moderator Tom Brokaw opened up the debate by saying that “since the first debate, a lot had changed in the world and for the worse”.  A CBS poll of unaffiliated voters conducted immediately afterwards showed that 37% thought that Obama had won it, 29% favored McCain, and 34% believed it to be a tie.




October 12, 2008
An RCP General Election Poll was released showing Obama leading McCain 47.1 to 44.3.  Despite his performance in the debate, Obama’s poll numbers have dropped slightly since last week’s RCP poll.  McCain’s numbers also dropped slightly.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2010, 06:03:19 PM »

Third Presidential Debate



October 15, 2008
The third presidential debate followed the same format as the first one and was held in Hempstead, New York’s Hofstra University.  The debate focused on domestic policy and the economy.  Both candidates made repeated reference to “Joe the Plumber” aka Joe Wurzelbacher.  Joe had spoken with Obama while he was campaigning in Ohio.  He claimed that Obama’s tax plan would make it difficult for him to expand his plumbing business and hire more employees.  A CBS poll of independent voters conducted immediately after the debate found that 49% thought that Obama had while 26% stood by McCain, meaning that Obama had swept all three debates.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2010, 07:32:26 PM »

Colin Powell Endorses McCain



October 18, 2008
Today, John McCain received the endorsement of former Secretary of State Colin Powell.  Powell praised McCain for his experience and his moderating role in the Republican Party’s approach to the financial crisis.  He further applauded McCain for his “solid Vice Presidential pick” in Tim Pawlenty.  He noted that Barack Obama was a great speaker and inspirational figure but not what America needed at this time.




October 19, 2008
An RCP General Election Poll was released showing Obama still leading McCain 46.2 to 45.4.  Despite his stellar performance in the third debate, the controversy around Joe the Plumber has caused Obama’s number to continue to drop until he only leads .8.  Colin Powell’s endorsement has not yet registered in the polling average.  Thus, it can be expected that McCain will continue at least a moderate rise in polling next week, though whether that trend will hold is completely up in the air.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2010, 07:55:24 PM »

October 26, 2008
An RCP General Election Poll was released showing Obama leading McCain 47.1 to 46.0.  The effect of Colin Powell’s endorsement seems to have already worn off as Obama climbs in the polls since last week’s average.  It would appear that a slim majority of Americans currently trust the Democrats more than they do the Republicans to handle the economy; that by far is the biggest factor in these polls.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #15 on: October 10, 2010, 01:09:51 PM »


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Thankyou!
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #16 on: October 10, 2010, 01:11:24 PM »

Obama Airs 30-Minute Television Ad



October 29, 2008
The Obama airs a 30-minute, prime time television ad on several networks.  Included at the end is a live broadcast.  The infomercial’s cost is estimated at between $3.5 and $5 million, displaying quite adequately that the Obama Campaign has more money left than they have time for television adverts.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #17 on: October 10, 2010, 01:33:08 PM »

McCain Makes SNL Appearance

November 1, 2008
John McCain’s appearance on SNL’s most recent skit underscores his campaign’s financial troubles.  While Obama runs a multi-million infomercial, McCain is forced to resort to witty one-liners with the SNL cast.  Despite this, he kept a positive outlook on the election which would be held in the next 48 hours.  Luckily for McCain, many of the Republican state affiliates are picking up the slack when it comes to add campaigns.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2010, 01:38:10 PM »

November 3, 2008
Real Clear Politics releases its final presidential polling average the day before the election.  It shows Obama leading McCain 48.9 to 47.1.  Both candidates have moved up their numbers from last week as independents finally make up their minds as to who they will vote for.  The margin is within 2 points, though whether the true effect of Obama’s infomercial has been felt is a big unknown.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #19 on: October 10, 2010, 06:16:24 PM »

Election Night


November 4, 2008
2008 Election will be broken down by times, with a map posted each hour. 

7:00
Kentucky is called for McCain while Vermont is called for Obama.  Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina, and Virginia are too close to call. 

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #20 on: October 10, 2010, 07:14:01 PM »

7:30
West Virginia is called for McCain.  Ohio is too close to call.

7:48
South Carolina is called for McCain

8:00
Oklahoma and Tennessee are called for McCain.  Connecticut, Delaware, D.C, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, and New Jersey are called for Obama.  Alabama, Florida, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania are too close to call.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #21 on: October 10, 2010, 08:27:05 PM »

8:30
Arkansas is called for McCain while North Carolina is too close to call. 

8:40
Alabama is called for McCain.

8:48
Pennsylvania is called for Obama.

9:00
Kansas, Texas, and Wyoming are called for McCain.  Michigan, Minnesota, New York, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin are called for Obama.  Arizona, Colorado, Louisiana, Nebraska, New Mexico, and South Dakota are all too close to call.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #22 on: October 10, 2010, 08:34:12 PM »

I really thought that T-Paw would help McCain carry Minnesota. He was at least moderately popular in 2008.
Not enough to break the Blue (or, I suppose, red) firewall.  All is not lost, as you can see McCain's pick has really helped his chances.  For what it's worth, Obama barely stayed above 50% in Minnesota.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #23 on: October 10, 2010, 08:52:30 PM »

9:16
Georgia is called for McCain.

9:24
Louisiana is called for McCain.

9:32
New Mexico is called for Obama

9:46
Indiana is called for McCain

10:00
Mississippi and Utah are called for McCain.  Iowa and New Hampshire are called for Obama.  Montana and Nevada are too close to call.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,192
United States


« Reply #24 on: October 10, 2010, 08:53:09 PM »

Thanks everybody!
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