Which Senate margin will be closer in November?
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  Which Senate margin will be closer in November?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
West Virginia		  
#2
Wisconsin		  
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Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: Which Senate margin will be closer in November?  (Read 1019 times)
Mr. Illini
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« on: August 31, 2018, 02:11:52 PM »
Which one?
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2018, 02:15:29 PM »
WV, my guess is that the vast majority of undecideds break R, as has happened for the last couple cycles
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: August 31, 2018, 02:16:08 PM »
West Virginia.
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: August 31, 2018, 02:26:07 PM »
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4 on: August 31, 2018, 02:50:02 PM »
I think Wisconsin will be closer, because I think Baldwin will lose.
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2018, 03:19:38 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on August 31, 2018, 02:50:02 PM
I think Wisconsin will be closer, because I think Baldwin will lose.

Lol, if Baldwin somehow loses, Manchin will lose by a lot.

Anyway, West Virginia.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #6 on: August 31, 2018, 03:53:19 PM »
Baldwin is safe, as indicated by every poll thus far.

So West Virginia.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #7 on: August 31, 2018, 03:55:35 PM »
West Virginia, because there are still scenarios where Manchin loses, whereas not only is Baldwin safe, I'm pretty sure she'll crush her opponent.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #8 on: August 31, 2018, 04:17:26 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on August 31, 2018, 02:50:02 PM
I think Wisconsin will be closer, because I think Baldwin will lose.

Limo's new account
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UncleSam
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« Reply #9 on: August 31, 2018, 04:27:32 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on August 31, 2018, 03:19:38 PM
Quote from: SnowLabrador on August 31, 2018, 02:50:02 PM
I think Wisconsin will be closer, because I think Baldwin will lose.

Lol, if Baldwin somehow loses, Manchin will lose by a lot.

Anyway, West Virginia.
To be fair, that would make Wisconsin closer

Anyway it’ll be West Virginia
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andjey
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« Reply #10 on: September 02, 2018, 08:19:26 AM »
West Virginia
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« Reply #11 on: September 02, 2018, 01:35:34 PM »
Manchin as a greater chance of losing or having his race being a nail-biter but he also has a greater chance of winning in a larger landslide than Baldwin as well


I think Baldwin will win between 8-14 points


For Manchin I think the margin will be any where between a loss of around 3 points and a win of 21 points


Now if you average those out it would be a Baldwin win of 11 points and a Manchin win of 9 points so I will say Baldwin slightly
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
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« Reply #12 on: September 02, 2018, 03:23:06 PM »
If I had to guess, I would say that Manchin will win by 5-7 and Baldwin will win by 8-10.

So WV, but I doubt there will be a huge difference between the two margins (although Baldwin could potentially climb into the lower double digits depending on how weak Vukmir really ends up being).
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MarkD
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« Reply #13 on: September 03, 2018, 02:51:00 PM »
West Virginia, easily. If Tammy Baldwin can beat Tommy Thompson (in 2012) by 5.5 points, then she can readily beat a lesser-known Republican opponent by an even bigger margin. But Manchin's got his work cut out for him.
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