TX-PPP: Tie at 48 (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  TX-PPP: Tie at 48 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX-PPP: Tie at 48  (Read 3627 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« on: June 05, 2020, 10:52:07 AM »

Biden is winning men and losing women lol. Additionally, his black and hispanic numbers seem astronomically high at 97-1 and 66-23. I think Texas is close, but this poll is trash.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2020, 11:03:50 AM »

Biden is winning men and losing women lol. Additionally, his black and hispanic numbers seem astronomically high at 97-1 and 66-23. I think Texas is close, but this poll is trash.

How many times does it have to be said to not nitpick the crosstabs due to their higher margin of error?

Also those black and hispanic numbers really don't sound that off to me at all.
I am not usually a crosstabs troll, but from my experience complete impossibilities such as the gender gap flipping usually mean a poll is bad. As for black/Hispanic numbers, they would constitute a 20 point swing 2016->2020 among each group. The higher quality QPac had these numbers more realistic with blacks and Hispanics at 76-11 and 53-32 Biden respectively, and they still had Biden within the MoE. Texas will be close, and this result jives with some recent national polling, but all I am saying is that this particular poll appears to be trash.
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