Who will be the next new Senator in each state?

[DownWithTheLeft]

I'll make some bold predictions for each state, and years, used current positions:

AL: Rep. Mike Rogers (R) (Shelby retires in 2012)
AK: St. Sen. Ben Stevens (R) (takes over for dad in 2014)
AZ: Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D) (appointed after McCain wins)
AR: More than 10 years
CA: Gov. Arnold Schwarenegger (R) (wins in 2012)
CO: Bob Schaffer (R) (no explanation needed)
CT: St. Sen. John McKinney (R) (appointed by Rell w/Lieberman in Mac's cabinet)
DE: AG Beau Biden (D) (takes over for dad eventually)
FL: Rep. Connie Mack IV (R) (defeats Bill Nelson in 2012)
GA: More than 10 years
HI: possibly Gov. Lingle, but only if someone retires
ID: Lt. Gov. Jim Risch (no explanation needed)
IL: More than 10 years
IN: Rep. Brads Ellsworth (D) (Lugar retires in 2012)
IA: More than 10 years, barring retirement
KS: Rep. Jerry Moran (R) (replaces Brownback in 2010)
KY: Rep. Ben Chandler (D) (defs. Bunning)
LA: John Kennedy (R) (defs. Landrieu)
ME: more than 10 years
MD: more than 10 years, (Steele v. congressional Dem if retirement)
MA: Rep. Ed Markey (D) (except Markey v. Curt Schilling)
MI: more than 10 years
MN: more than 10 years
MS: more than 10 years, barring retirement
MO: Rep. Sam Graves (R) (defs. McCaskill)
MT: Fmr. Gov. Marc Racicot (R) (defs. Tester)
NE: Fmr. Gov. Mike Johnans (no explaination needed)
NV: more than 10 years
NH: someone unknown (possibly Sununu loss)
NJ: Freeholder John Murphy (R) (defs. Menendez in 2012)
NM: Rep. Tom Udall (no explanation needed)
NY: more than 10 years
NC: more than 10 years
ND: more than 10 years, barring retirement
OH: more than 10 years, barring retirement
OK: more than 10 years
OR: more than 10 years
PA: someone who beats Specter in 2010
RI: more than 10 yeras
SC: more than 10 years
SD: more than 10 years, barring retirment
TN: more than 10 years
TX: more than 10 years
UT: more than 10 years
VT: more than 10 years, barring 2 possible retirements
VA: Fmr. Gov. Mark Warner (no explanation needed)
WA: more than 10 years
WV: Rep. Shelley Capito Moore (once Byrd is gone)
WI: more than 10 years
WY: more than 10 years

[DownWithTheLeft]

^^

Josh has finally made it official he be the stupidest person to ever walk the planet

[DownWithTheLeft]

DTWL how am I stupid? Kay Hagan can and will win. She hasn't ran any ads for the GE election and Dole has and Dole is only up by 11%, that isn't very good. Once Hagan starts running ads, it will be tied again, top that with higher turn-out of black voter and young voter who will voter Dem all the way down the ticket spell Hagan win.

That is just absurd on so many levels.  How can running ads make up 11 points by itself?  You can't be certain that more blacks and young people show up, and that itself cannot make up 11 points.  I guess everyone else has tried to explain this, but somehow it goes right over your head.  At least your map has Dole winning, you must have used some sort of brain to figure that one out.

[DownWithTheLeft]

DWTL, I getting ready to post a thread on why I think Hagan can win.

Have fun then, you certainly haven't done enough to make people think you have no idea what your talking about.  Maybe I'll make one on why Massachusetts could swing to McCain.  No but seriously Josh, the goldmine has been lacking a little so if you could go ahead and make that thread, that would be great.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Burr will not win re-election, sorry to say but he isn't.

Of course, Josh.  Good start BTW to that not saying stupid things pledge

[DownWithTheLeft]

Burr will not win re-election, sorry to say but he isn't.

Of course, Josh.  Good start BTW to that not saying stupid things pledge

No one has ever held that seat more then one term. IIRC

I'm sure someone has at some point, and that doesn't make a damn bit of difference.  It was an open seat in 2004 and going back to 1998 is a political eternity.

[DownWithTheLeft]

CA: Gov. Arnold Schwarenegger (R) (wins in 2012)

You still think he can beat Feinstein? He's not popular anymore, what with the budget fiasco, and Feinstein will (unfortunately) be a Senator as long as she wants.

I think he's got a good shot, and if Feinstein retires he's probably close to a shoo-in

[DownWithTheLeft]

For New Jersey, I have a hunch it'll be Steve Rothman.

Two Jewish senators from NJ?  Benconstine would be pleased.  I still think that if 2012 is a strong GOP year, the GOP could pull it off.  And if Lautenberg retires in 2014, the GOP could pull that off.  I just don't see Rothman getting it after they passed on him in 2005.  If its a Dem rep it would most likely be Pallone or Andrews.