Which is more likely in 2020?

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Option 2. All 3 of the big 3 states Trump picked up have very similar demographics and with a strong economy and weak democratic field there is a better chance the map stays the same then democrats win Az.

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The map looks the same as 2016. I stand by my unpopular opinion that Trump will win Arizona fairly easily.

I stand by my unpopular opinion that the election isn't gonna be that close. I think Trump could win 330-340 EV easily. Hillary was a much more moderate candidate than any of the dems running in 2020 and Trump was an unknown then he isn't now. Dems are all largely seen as unknowns, even Biden most voters barely know him. They know he was Obamas VP. Dems are in deep crap. This impeachment thing is gonna put the house in play.

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