2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

So if Ayotte loses is tonight the tea party's greatest accomplishment to date?

[Smash255]

schneiderman keeps gaining, 33-31

Looks like Schneiderman is going to pull it off, but one thing to keep in mind

Precincts in

77% of Manhattan
82% of Brooklyn
26% of Nassau

Not enough votes in Nassau, I suspect.

Looks that way.   Looking at the Nassau breakout she could add 10,000 to her margin there, and currently trails by a little under 14,000.

[Torie]

    NY-19 primary called for Nan Hayworth.

She is the strongest GOP candidate. Apparently the virus out there, is not pandemic.

[cinyc]

Townsend will be the sacrificial lamb against Schumer; DioGuardi looks like he's in very good shape, barring some Nassau/Erie surprise; so far, Paladino's not getting his running mate (which would make it an all-Upstate ticket); Gillibrand might end up with less than 75%.

[Mr. Morden]

Lamontagne lead down to 1052 votes, and dropping fast.

(Er, "fast" if you grade on a curve, given how slowly the vote count is going.)

EDIT: And now it's dropped below 900.

[Lunar]

You mean Paladino/Edwards, weird!

[Associate Justice PiT]

    NY-19 primary called for Nan Hayworth.

She is the strongest GOP candidate. Apparently the virus out there, is not pandemic.

     The differences in numbers between her & DiCarlo aren't that big. It's nowhere close to the electability divide between Castle & O'Donnell, at least.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

So did Lazio get the Conservative party nod? If so, this will be a hilarious election.

[Lunar]

So did Lazio get the Conservative party nod? If so, this will be a hilarious election.

unless he gets nominated for a judgeship, he has to win 50k votes in the GE or potentially doom the Conservative Party

[Sam Spade]

Should I even be a republican anymore?

It is a crazy year. Keep your powder dry. You know what I compare the Tea Party thing to?  Yes, the Perot thing. We had to endure that unfortunate human being, and his movement, and yes, even though the Tea Party makes Perot seems like a paradigm of sanity, they too, will fade away. Why? Because it is all rhetorical BS, with no real policy meaning because the nasty little policy choices about how to deal with medical subsidies, etc., etc., are just not on their radar screen. That is far too much work.  It is just emotional anger. How many of these people have really thought through any policy ideas?  

Perot was just a bit ahead of his time.  You should give him more credit than you do because he was (and still is) one of the few to actually talk about the nasty little policy choices out there (whether you agree with his solutions or not).

Btw, I do agree that it is a crazy year.  Unfortunately (or maybe fortunately depending on your view), this is probably just the beginning.  Hard to tell how exactly it manifests, however, long-term.

[cinyc]

You mean Paladino/Edwards, weird!

Yeah, but it's 51-49 - so it still could flip.

[Meeker]

NY-23 called for Doheny. Hoffman has the Conservative line though.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Btw, I do agree that it is a crazy year.  Unfortunately (or maybe fortunately depending on your view), this is probably just the beginning.  Hard to tell how exactly it manifests, however, long-term.

Are you one of the people who sees increasingly wild swings politically/political turmoil because we won't be able to grapple with the magnitude of the problems facing us?

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

NY-23 called for Doheny. Hoffman has the Conservative line though.

That should be a help in keeping the seat in Dem hands hopefully.

again lol

[Lunar]

NY-23 called for Doheny. Hoffman has the Conservative line though.

Haha.  Is Doug a two-time spoiler?

[Meeker]

Republican Senate primary in Maryland finally called for Eric Wargotz

[Torie]

Btw, I do agree that it is a crazy year.  Unfortunately (or maybe fortunately depending on your view), this is probably just the beginning.  Hard to tell how exactly it manifests, however, long-term.

Are you one of the people who sees increasingly wild swings politically/political turmoil because we won't be able to grapple with the magnitude of the problems facing us?

Whatever Sam's elaboration, that is a reasonable hypothesis. Americans are spoiled. They are not used to what is coming down.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Btw, I do agree that it is a crazy year.  Unfortunately (or maybe fortunately depending on your view), this is probably just the beginning.  Hard to tell how exactly it manifests, however, long-term.

Are you one of the people who sees increasingly wild swings politically/political turmoil because we won't be able to grapple with the magnitude of the problems facing us?

Whatever Sam's elaboration, that is a reasonable hypothesis. Americans are spoiled. They are not used to what is coming down.

Yeah, I'm quickly coming to the point where I feel that we won't have the political will to solve our problems, now and in the future. If I'm right, things are going to get pretty sh**tty.

[Sam Spade]

Btw, I do agree that it is a crazy year.  Unfortunately (or maybe fortunately depending on your view), this is probably just the beginning.  Hard to tell how exactly it manifests, however, long-term.

Are you one of the people who sees increasingly wild swings politically/political turmoil because we won't be able to grapple with the magnitude of the problems facing us?

Whatever Sam's elaboration, that is a reasonable hypothesis. Americans are spoiled. They are not used to what is coming down.

It is hard to entirely predict the future politically - what is easy to see are the growing and continual problems that lead to great turmoil.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

NH margin keeps on shrinking.. 38.7% to 38.4% according to Politico.

[Sam Spade]

btw, Ayotte's gonna catch Frenchy really soon at this rate.

[cinyc]

NY Map update with about 77% in:

NY-AG:


Upstate was competitive, with Rice (yellow) eking out wins in most counties, while performing well on Long Island.  Where she didn't win Upstate, Coffey (green) often did - thank Batman.  Schneiderman's strength was in NYC and the Lower Hudson Valley.  And I guess John Leguizamo has some pull in Orleans County - which Dinallo (red) won.  Old rockers had no pull for Brodsky.

NY-Gov-R:

Lazio (blue) got slaughtered Upstate, except Saint Lawrence and Franklin Counties, for some reason.  And so far, Upstate started in the Lower Hudson Valley, with Lazio losing Rockland and Orange Counties.  Not a recipe for a Republican win.  (Paladino green):



NY-Senate R (2 Year Term):



In general, another Upstate/Downstate divide, with Downstate, the Capital Region and most of the North Country going for DioGuardi and Malpass winning most other Upstate areas (well, at least the more urban ones other than Monroe (Rochester).  Last I checked, this race hadn't been called yet - but it's looking good for DioGuardi.

[Eraserhead]

Beet, turn on Hardball! You'll love Chris Matthews tonight! He sounds just like you! O'Donnell is now the favorite for the Delaware seat, apparently.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Beet, turn on Hardball! You'll love Chris Matthews tonight! He sounds just like you! O'Donnell is now the favorite for the Delaware seat, apparently.

lol

What "logic" is he basing that on?

[Torie]

Beet, turn on Hardball! You'll love Chris Matthews tonight! He sounds just like you! O'Donnell is now the favorite for the Delaware seat, apparently.

Chris needs to take up pot like I did. Just a thought.