2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)
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  2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)
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Author Topic: 2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)  (Read 181709 times)
Sam Spade
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« Reply #975 on: August 24, 2010, 09:47:42 PM »

Did anyone here seriously think that the Miami-Dade GOP Hispanic machine would let David Rivera even get close to losing?  I thought I saw some post earlier hinting at that.
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rbt48
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« Reply #976 on: August 24, 2010, 09:48:02 PM »

This interesting site shows predictions for the final vote count in the Governorship race.  It has Racine winning by about 170 votes now:
http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=495689
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StatesRights
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« Reply #977 on: August 24, 2010, 09:48:06 PM »

McCollum not conceding yet.
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redcommander
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« Reply #978 on: August 24, 2010, 09:48:16 PM »

WTF!!!! That's it, another democrat I'm supporting if Scott wins. I'm sick and tired of republicans nominating crappy candidates. Scott is a joke.
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Torie
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« Reply #979 on: August 24, 2010, 09:49:23 PM »
« Edited: August 24, 2010, 09:52:36 PM by Torie »

McCollum did good in some odd places. At least he won his home county (Hernando).

Eh - not really.  McCollum generally won the big cities plus Tallahassee and Gainesville, except for Jacksonville.  Scott won the rest.

It is odd however that McCollum got trashed in Collier County (Naples).  Why were the well to do geezers down on McCollum I wonder?  Or is Scott from there?

Collier County is one of the most conservative in the state, up there with the Panhandle.  It voted for Scott and Greene - big time.  I'm not surprised at all.

Racine's back in the lead in Vermont, this time by 96.

Actually Collier is more "swingy" than the Panhandle, not surprising since it is packed with rich to rather rich old gentile Yankees. I think the swing to Obama there was pretty big, although I guess I should check that. I would have thought it would be a pretty good fit for McCollum anyway, absent Scott being the home town boy.

Addendum: While the swing to Obama in Collier matched the state swing overall. Whatever. I still remember it swinging other times, but when and where I am not sure.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #980 on: August 24, 2010, 09:49:57 PM »

FL-17 called for Frederica Wilson.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #981 on: August 24, 2010, 09:50:52 PM »

WTF!!!! That's it, another democrat I'm supporting if Scott wins. I'm sick and tired of republicans nominating crappy candidates. Scott is a joke.

I'm sure you wear that blue avatar as a "conservative". How much do you think McCollum paid Huckabee to get his endorsement?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #982 on: August 24, 2010, 09:53:17 PM »

GOP turnout in Florida is just swamping the Dem turnout, something like 1,250,000 GOP to 870,000 Dem. With more registered Dems, that is pretty shocking.

Without the FL-2 contest (where whites came out to register their opinion on Allen Boyd - not necessarily positive btw) and blacks came out to vote for Al Lawson), it would be even worse.
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cinyc
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« Reply #983 on: August 24, 2010, 09:53:23 PM »

McCollum did good in some odd places. At least he won his home county (Hernando).

Eh - not really.  McCollum generally won the big cities plus Tallahassee and Gainesville, except for Jacksonville.  Scott won the rest.

It is odd however that McCollum got trashed in Collier County (Naples).  Why were the well to do geezers down on McCollum I wonder?  Or is Scott from there?

Collier County is one of the most conservative in the state, up there with the Panhandle.  It voted for Scott and Greene - big time.  I'm not surprised at all.

Racine's back in the lead in Vermont, this time by 96.

Actually Collier is more "swingy" than the Panhandle, not surprising since it is packed with rich to rather rich old gentile Yankees. I think the swing to Obama there was pretty big, although I guess I should check that. I would have thought it would be a pretty good fit for McCollum anyway, absent Scott being the home town boy.

Swingy, perhaps - but McCain won it 61-38.  Bush took it 65-34.  

Gulf Coast Floridians tend to be more Midwestern Yankee than East Coast Yankee, which shows up in their voting patterns.
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cinyc
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« Reply #984 on: August 24, 2010, 09:55:24 PM »

AP finally called FL-Gov-R for Scott.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #985 on: August 24, 2010, 09:55:29 PM »

Pinellas County is NY/Philly central cynic.
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Lunar
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« Reply #986 on: August 24, 2010, 09:55:43 PM »

GOP turnout in Florida is just swamping the Dem turnout, something like 1,250,000 GOP to 870,000 Dem. With more registered Dems, that is pretty shocking.

McCollum and Scott have spent far more money in total and conservative Dixiecrats had little reason to turn out for Greene/Meek.
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cinyc
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« Reply #987 on: August 24, 2010, 09:56:15 PM »

Pinellas County is NY/Philly central cynic.

The Tampa area is an exception - but it's still not Miami.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #988 on: August 24, 2010, 09:56:37 PM »

WTF!!!! That's it, another democrat I'm supporting if Scott wins. I'm sick and tired of republicans nominating crappy candidates. Scott is a joke.

I'm not supporting Scott in the general.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #989 on: August 24, 2010, 09:56:50 PM »

Here's a map of the FL-02 primary:

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homelycooking
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« Reply #990 on: August 24, 2010, 09:57:01 PM »
« Edited: August 24, 2010, 09:59:08 PM by homelycooking »

Big towns to go in Vermont:

St Albans (tossup M/R)
Springfield (tossup D/S)
Barre (lean R)
Putney (huge, huge S)
Williamstown (lean R)
Middlebury (who knows)
Ferrisburgh, Charlotte, Shelburne
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StatesRights
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« Reply #991 on: August 24, 2010, 09:57:52 PM »

WTF!!!! That's it, another democrat I'm supporting if Scott wins. I'm sick and tired of republicans nominating crappy candidates. Scott is a joke.

I'm not supporting Scott in the general.

"conservative"* T
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #992 on: August 24, 2010, 09:59:20 PM »

GOP turnout in Florida is just swamping the Dem turnout, something like 1,250,000 GOP to 870,000 Dem. With more registered Dems, that is pretty shocking.

McCollum and Scott have spent far more money in total and conservative Dixiecrats had little reason to turn out for Greene/Meek.

You might be amused to find out that FL-2 Dem turnout was not that far off 2008 Dem Prez primary turnout.  In some places, it was higher.  Especially in the white rural areas.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #993 on: August 24, 2010, 09:59:31 PM »

WTF!!!! That's it, another democrat I'm supporting if Scott wins. I'm sick and tired of republicans nominating crappy candidates. Scott is a joke.

I'm not supporting Scott in the general.

"conservative"* T

extremist.
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cinyc
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« Reply #994 on: August 24, 2010, 10:01:01 PM »

203/260 in.  Racine has increased his lead to 186 votes:



Bartlett won a second town - Morristown.

It's looking good for Racine, given what's out.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #995 on: August 24, 2010, 10:01:17 PM »

WTF!!!! That's it, another democrat I'm supporting if Scott wins. I'm sick and tired of republicans nominating crappy candidates. Scott is a joke.

I'm not supporting Scott in the general.

"conservative"* T

extremist.

Where?
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homelycooking
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« Reply #996 on: August 24, 2010, 10:04:39 PM »

Racine leads Shumlin by 32. Looks like Markowitz is out of it.
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Dan the Roman
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« Reply #997 on: August 24, 2010, 10:06:12 PM »

GOP turnout in Florida is just swamping the Dem turnout, something like 1,250,000 GOP to 870,000 Dem. With more registered Dems, that is pretty shocking.

McCollum and Scott have spent far more money in total and conservative Dixiecrats had little reason to turn out for Greene/Meek.

You might be amused to find out that FL-2 Dem turnout was not that far off 2008 Dem Prez primary turnout.  In some places, it was higher.  Especially in the white rural areas.

Of course that primary had issues which kept turnout down.
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East Coast Republican
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« Reply #998 on: August 24, 2010, 10:06:20 PM »

WTF!!!! That's it, another democrat I'm supporting if Scott wins. I'm sick and tired of republicans nominating crappy candidates. Scott is a joke.

I'm not supporting Scott in the general.

"conservative"* T

extremist.

Where?

StatesRights,

Why do you let him bother you so much?
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Lunar
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« Reply #999 on: August 24, 2010, 10:06:22 PM »

GOP turnout in Florida is just swamping the Dem turnout, something like 1,250,000 GOP to 870,000 Dem. With more registered Dems, that is pretty shocking.

McCollum and Scott have spent far more money in total and conservative Dixiecrats had little reason to turn out for Greene/Meek.

You might be amused to find out that FL-2 Dem turnout was not that far off 2008 Dem Prez primary turnout.  In some places, it was higher.  Especially in the white rural areas.

Fair enough, not that the 2008 Democratic presidential primary is good baseline though, not being openly contested at the presidential level and all
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