Which State was most disappointing for Dems in 2020?

[sting in the rafters]

While far from the most disappointing for Dems PA has to be up there. Obviously winning the state back in the presidential after the GOP finally got their white whale in 2016 was massive. However, was legit hope that Ds could take back the state house and even have an outside shot at taking PA-10 (was within 4 points in 2018+the growing Harrisburg suburbs gave Dems legit hope to take down Perry). Instead, Rs actually expanded their majority in the state legislature, unseated both Ahmad and Torsella (the latter being a real shocker), and came within shouting distance of flipping both PA-07 and PA-08. Maybe it was a false hope all along as the PA state GOP was closing the infrastructure gap with Dems, though on election night it certainly was disappointing.

[sting in the rafters]

While far from the most disappointing for Dems PA has to be up there. Obviously winning the state back in the presidential after the GOP finally got their white whale in 2016 was massive. However, was legit hope that Ds could take back the state house and even have an outside shot at taking PA-10 (was within 4 points in 2018+the growing Harrisburg suburbs gave Dems legit hope to take down Perry). Instead, Rs actually expanded their majority in the state legislature, unseated both Ahmad and Torsella (the latter being a real shocker), and came within shouting distance of flipping both PA-07 and PA-08. Maybe it was a false hope all along as the PA state GOP was closing the infrastructure gap with Dems, though on election night it certainly was disappointing.

What about Wisconsin? Biden may have won, but other than that, it was underwhelming:

-Biden was supposed to cruise to victory, instead he barely squeaked by.
-Trump won Kenosha and Columbia again.
-WI-03 didn’t flip back at the presidential level, and Trump’s margin actually grew from 2016.
-Ron Kind barely held on.
-Every House Republican won their race by 18 points or more.
-Democrats lost two seats in the State Senate, and barely held onto a third.

Or Ohio:

-Trump’s margin was virtually unchanged from 2016’s.
-He flipped Mahoning and Lorain, and expanded his margins in Trumbull and Ashtabula.
-Biden did worse in Cuyahoga than Clinton did.
-Trump won all 12 house seats he carried in 2016 again.
-Steve Chabot won by 7 points, and every other house Republican won by double digits.
-Tim Ryan’s house race only barely missed being the closest in the state.
-Democrats failed to flip a deep-blue State Seat seat by about 100 votes, and did not come close in any other R-held seat.
-Meanwhile, the one Democrat in a red State Senate seat lost his race.

Agreed on WI but I accepted OH was gone the moment Sherrod Brown’s margin in 2018 was to the right of the national house vote in 2018. PA has the growth in Philly burbs+the tech bubble in Pittsburgh to mitigate Ds losses in Appalachia, OH simply doesn’t.

[sting in the rafters]

While far from the most disappointing for Dems PA has to be up there. Obviously winning the state back in the presidential after the GOP finally got their white whale in 2016 was massive. However, was legit hope that Ds could take back the state house and even have an outside shot at taking PA-10 (was within 4 points in 2018+the growing Harrisburg suburbs gave Dems legit hope to take down Perry). Instead, Rs actually expanded their majority in the state legislature, unseated both Ahmad and Torsella (the latter being a real shocker), and came within shouting distance of flipping both PA-07 and PA-08. Maybe it was a false hope all along as the PA state GOP was closing the infrastructure gap with Dems, though on election night it certainly was disappointing.

What about Wisconsin? Biden may have won, but other than that, it was underwhelming:

-Biden was supposed to cruise to victory, instead he barely squeaked by.
-Trump won Kenosha and Columbia again.
-WI-03 didn’t flip back at the presidential level, and Trump’s margin actually grew from 2016.
-Ron Kind barely held on.
-Every House Republican won their race by 18 points or more.
-Democrats lost two seats in the State Senate, and barely held onto a third.

Or Ohio:

-Trump’s margin was virtually unchanged from 2016’s.
-He flipped Mahoning and Lorain, and expanded his margins in Trumbull and Ashtabula.
-Biden did worse in Cuyahoga than Clinton did.
-Trump won all 12 house seats he carried in 2016 again.
-Steve Chabot won by 7 points, and every other house Republican won by double digits.
-Tim Ryan’s house race only barely missed being the closest in the state.
-Democrats failed to flip a deep-blue State Seat seat by about 100 votes, and did not come close in any other R-held seat.
-Meanwhile, the one Democrat in a red State Senate seat lost his race.

Agreed on WI but I accepted OH was gone the moment Sherrod Brown’s margin in 2018 was to the right of the national house vote in 2018. PA has the growth in Philly burbs+the tech bubble in Pittsburgh to mitigate Ds losses in Appalachia, OH simply doesn’t.

Sherrod Brown will lose in 2024.

Too far out to tell imo but either way he could very well be the last Dem to win a federal race for a while