AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

[prag_prog]

There were some signs in last few months that something like this would happen. Apparently she didn't even campaign or support most of the Dems running in AZ. She didn't even endorse Hobbs. Kelly was the only person she endorsed.

She is just so weird. It's not like she is popular with Independents in AZ either..she is underwater with them too. Also saw some people complaining that she doesn't even hold townhalls or her office doesn't respond easily. She just has allienated decent chunk of AZ electorate but also has now put Dems in an extremely tough spot. If Sinema runs as an independent and Dems nominate a candidate, there is a good chance Rs win the seat..just a nightmare scenario for AZ Dem party

[prag_prog]

lol

https://twitter.com/mattmfm/status/1601200432747270144

[prag_prog]

Sinema has really put Dems in a tough position now...wish we can get some new polling data on how a hypothetical 3 way matchup with Sinema as Indie would look like

[prag_prog]

This guy was Deputy Director of Biden's AZ campaign and worked in AZ politics for a while

https://twitter.com/tcani/status/1601222657931780096

https://twitter.com/tcani/status/1601222659672449025

[prag_prog]

I think key question here is whether Sinema would be willing top dropout if polling shows that she has no chance of winning in a 3 way matchup and gift the seat to GOP

[prag_prog]

I honestly wouldn't have cared much about her switch if she was from a blue state like WA, IL etc. But its Arizona and there is so much uncertainity on whether even she runs for re-election or not

[prag_prog]

Arizona has somehow became the most interesting state politically over the last 5 years...there is always some drama, never boring

[prag_prog]

https://twitter.com/DrewLinzer/status/1601289169338519552

[prag_prog]

Saw on twitter that Lake is recommending Pinal County sheriff Mark Lamb to run for Senate..apparently this dude is another Finchem. tbh I wonder whether Arizona has highest number of RW lunatics per capita among all the states.

[prag_prog]

I am not that surprised about the poll results...that's roughly what I expected. Sinema is lot more popular among the Radical Centrists,Never Trump Republicans on twitter...these people are very small % of electorate. The big question here is will Sinema dropout from the race or not if she is still polling around 10% during early 2024 ?

[prag_prog]

Biggest question in this race is whether Sinema is willing to dropout if she is still polling at around 10% in early 2024.