This poll's crosstabs are insane
Los Angeles County only opposing the recall by 20%! (after having voted for Biden by some 43%!)
Indicative of a major weakness of Newsom (probably not one that will be decisive but an interesting one nonetheless)
The crosstabs in this poll are Florida hack polls levels of awful.
PPIC shows Latinos supporting Newsom 66-27 (that’s higher than Biden’s margins even) but also recall getting within 25 in LA County at the same time?
I initially took this at face value, but it turns out that isn't the case. Biden won
75% of Latinos against Trump's 23% in the state of California.It's important to remember that Californian Latinos are more liberal than their Texan, Arizonan, and Floridian counterparts.
On the flipside, Californian Whites are voting for the recall at approximately the same rate that they voted for Biden. I think this does exacerbate the idea that Newsom will overperform in the San Francisco Bay Area.
