AZ, FL, MI, NC, PA, WI (Redfield & Whiton) - Biden +4, +4, +11, +6, +10, +9 (user search)
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  AZ, FL, MI, NC, PA, WI (Redfield & Whiton) - Biden +4, +4, +11, +6, +10, +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ, FL, MI, NC, PA, WI (Redfield & Whiton) - Biden +4, +4, +11, +6, +10, +9  (Read 2258 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: June 25, 2020, 11:54:48 AM »

Beautiful.

Also good to see that they are polling Jorgensen and Hawkins. Nobody else does.

Unsurprisingly, Jorgensen and Hawkins are receiving much lower support than Johnson and Stein did last time in these states. Their percentages were inflated in 2016 thanks to voters who were dissatisfied with Clinton or Trump (or both). Biden has obviously pulled back in many Johnson/Stein voters who typically vote Democratic.
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Calthrina950
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Posts: 15,919
United States


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« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2020, 12:40:09 PM »

Beautiful.

Also good to see that they are polling Jorgensen and Hawkins. Nobody else does.

Unsurprisingly, Jorgensen and Hawkins are receiving much lower support than Johnson and Stein did last time in these states. Their percentages were inflated in 2016 thanks to voters who were dissatisfied with Clinton or Trump (or both). Biden has obviously pulled back in many Johnson/Stein voters who typically vote Democratic.

Neither Jorgensen and Hawkins have received much airtime (or, at the very least, as much airtime as is usually devoted to third-party candidates).  

This means that while neither is likely to have a "what is Aleppo?" moment, there won't be a "giant sucking sound" quotable either.  

This is true. I didn't even know who Jorgensen and Hawkins were until about a month ago. They are certainly much more obscure than Gary Johnson-who is the former Governor of New Mexico and initially ran for the Republican nomination in 2012 before switching to the Libertarians. In 2016, all of these states were won by Trump with a plurality of the vote. Biden could potentially gain a majority in all six if things break right for him, and this is especially likely to happen for him in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Arizona.
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