I know this is an atlas thing but if Texas goes Republican while Ohio goes Dem ill take it a silver lining in otherwise probably a disastrous night for the GOP(as dems probably have 53 senate seats then too)
There is no universe in which Biden wins OH and IA but loses TX by 4-5 points.
No but loses by 1 point
I do think there’s a small chance of Trump winning TX by <1 while losing OH by the same margin, but I really don’t see IA voting to the left of TX. I’m not going to completely rule it out, but I’d trust the demographic fundamentals/electoral trends over polling any day in those states.
This also has Cornyn winning by 10, which I really don’t see happening even on a very good night for Republicans (and Cornyn would be way less nervous about his seat if this was even close to accurate).
